NBA Best Player Props & Spreads for Friday, 3/12/2021
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Jimmy Butler Over 41.5 PRAs (-106) vs. Bulls
Need I say more? Jimmy Buckets cashed this same prop last night for us with room to spare as he carried his Heat to an 8 point victory with 27, 8 and 11. Like I said yesterday, his 3 games prior to last night: 29 3 and 9, 33 10 and 8, 27 8 and 10. Plus we get a return to Chicago. That’s enough for me to get back on the hype train.
Joel Embiid Over 34.5 Points vs. Wizards
The last time these two teams played, Embiid dropped 38 on them. With no Simmons and the rest of his teammates coming off a back to back, it’s a no brainer to take this line. I expect 35+ out of the Process tonight.
Eric Bledsoe Under 13.5 Points (-112) vs. Cavs
I am just not a Bledsoe fan. I watched a couple minutes of the Pelicans collapse last night and I saw a Bledsoe airball and a missed layup. The stats backup the under. He has missed this in 4 straight games. In his 19 games since February 1st, he has hit this in 5 of them. I think the Cavs can hold him down for one night. Expect a big night from Bledsoe as that is usually what happens when I bet unders.
8:10 PM EST: Sixers (-5) at Wizards, O/U: 234
Pick: Over 234
On games with no rest, the Sixers overs are 4-1. As for the Wizards, the over is 7-3 in games in which they are home underdogs. I expect a high scoring matchup between these two teams. These two teams combined for 270 points earlier in the season, while I don’t expect those fireworks, I do know the Wizards don’t play an ounce of defense so I’ll take the over. Also, to consider: Wizards+5. Philadelphia are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington.
9:10 PM EST: Heat (-2.5) at Bulls, O/U: 221.5
The Heat have won 8 of 9 games. You already know we are all in on Jimmy Butler tonight and I say he has a big game to make sure the Heat leave Chicago with a W. The Heat are 5-1 in their past 6 road games against the Bulls. One more useless stat: Chicago is 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games played on a Friday. I’m taking Heat to win and cover.
10:40 PM EST: Pacers at Lakers (-4.5) O/U: 217.5
The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana. Useless stat of the day: LA Lakers are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played on a Friday. Hang on standby as injuries and inactives are announced, but as long as LeBron is playing, I will back the Lakers. It would be nice to have some reserves back though: Kuzma and Caruso. Gasol will be out but that doesn’t affect much for me.
PARLAY OF THE DAY:
Pelicans, Heat, Nuggets, Lakers ML: +457
LONGSHOT PARLAY OF THE DAY (+1377 odds):
Jimmy Butler 8+ rebounds/Win +200
Jokic Double Double/Win +114
Those are my NBA Best player props and spreads for Friday, March 12th. Here’s to hoping we bank together.
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And, check out how my favorite DFS lineup below as well as some value plays!