NBA Best Player Props & Spreads for Saturday, 3/13/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA Best Player props and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
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Eric Bledsoe Under 11.5 Points
Ah, we are back for more with Mr. Bledsoe. We took Eric’s under on Thursday. Then it was 13.5 points and boy we were sweating all game as Bledsoe failed to even log a single point. In the 2 games since the ASB, Bledsoe has played just 20 minutes per game, shooting 1/12 and scored a big 2 points combined. Bledsoe is getting faded out of the lineup for the young guys, which might be a signal that he will be traded soon. Either way, we take his under. Under is 6-13 since February 3rd. I am taking it again tonight.
Zion Williamson Over 25.5 Points
As you will see, I believe this is a very high scoring game and so does Vegas. Over/Under is set at 236. Zion has failed to hit his over in 2 straight games, but those were due to blowouts and this game should remain close. There’s no one on this Clippers team that could matchup against him. Sure, Kawhi could try, but I don’t believe they want Kawhi to be taking a beating trying to stop Williamson. Plus, they run a lot of pick and roll forcing switches onto smaller defenders who Zion should overwhelm. We take the over.
Ben Simmons Over 33.5 PRAs
Without Joel Embiid this season, Simmons has averaged 20 points, 8.2 rebounds and 7.2 assists. His averages alone are enough to take him over, but then you factor in the matchup. Even though Simmons is not the prototypical point guard, the Spurs is a great matchup. Simmons should be able to drive, score and facilitate at will against this Spurs team.
Clippers/Pelicans over 236
As a home underdog, the Pelicans have been great. For starters, they are 6-2 ATS as home underdogs but that’s not why we are here. The over is 7-1 in those 8 games. The Clippers have been scoring at will recently, and few defenses in the NBA are as bad as the Pelicans. It would not surprise me to see a combined score in the 250s tonight. That’s how little defense each of these teams play. Sure, you could point to the last time these teams played and they combined for only 216, but that was without Zion and Lonzo who make a big difference for the over, which we are locking in.
Jazz-7 vs Warriors, O/U: 230
This is either the worst line Vegas has ever given, or this is the biggest trap of a lifetime. The Jazz are clearly the better team. The Warriors have Curry and that is it. The Jazz should look to take Curry out of the game and make someone else beat them. Good luck with that Warriors. Jazz win big in the Bay Area.
Timberwolves/Blazers Under 233.5
Vegas just saw these teams combine for 246 points the night before, yet they come out and give us the same exact line. It doesn’t make sense, so I am taking the under. Vegas wants you to take the easy over here, but truthfully, they were lucky to score 246 points. Each team shot over 30 free throws last night (a recipe to hit the over). That was an abnormality. The Timberwolves shoot less than 20 free throws a game, the 4th fewest in the league. The Blazers aren’t far behind only attempted 20.7 a game, the 9th fewest in the league. We take the under tonight.
Parlay of the Day:
Record: 2-1 (+6.85 units)
Heat, Celtics, 76ers ML, Timberwolves Blazers Under 233.5 +434
Those are my NBA Best player props and spreads for Sunday, March 14th. Here’s to hoping we bank together.
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And, check out how my favorite DFS lineup below as well as some value plays! We have banked on my lineup for 4 straight nights!