NBA Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Thursday, 3/18/21

NBA Best Prop

NBA Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Thursday, 3/18/2021

 This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.

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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!

 

NBA Best Bets Season Record: 215-170-1 (+38.6 units)

4-2 yesterday plus the Long Shot Parlay of the Day hits! 15-3-1 run over the last 3 days. Let’s stay hot!

Montrezl Harrell 18.5 Over Points

Harrell has been dominating lately. Harrell has 25+ points in 3 of his past 4 games and 17 points in that one game which was against Indiana and Myles Turner. The matchup favors Harrell. We picked Jokic’s over against the Hornets last night and were treated terribly, but keep in mind, Jokic was in pass-first mindset and only shot 7 times, making 6 of them. I think Harrell can hit this with ease in a close game, or even a blowout.

 

Damian Lillard Over 44.5 PRAs

We just saw Dame drop a 50 piece and get his team the W. In his last two games against the Pelicans, he is averaging 46 PPG. With CJ McCollum working back from injury, Dame will still be able to beast and feast per usual. The Pelicans will have adjusted with their defense and instead they will come up on the pick and rolls that left Dame open for so many 3’s so instead, they will just leave the paint wide open for Dame to drive and score that way, or dish to his teammates for the assists. I like the over.

 

Ricky Rubio Under 8.5 Assists (-138)

Rubio has been on a tear lately, but it hasn’t necessarily been in the assists department. He did have 12 assists last game but that was against the Lakers who give up the 10th most assists per game to opposing point guards at 8.7. The Suns, on the other hand, give up just 7 assists per game, the lowest in the league by a wide margin. In their previous matchup, Rubio managed just 6 assists. Since Valentines Day (February 14th), Rubio has hit this over in just 4 of 14 possible games. I expect the Suns to force the ball out of Rubio’s hands, and instead we see much more fast break action led by Anthony Edwards (who we will talk about in just a moment).

 

Jordan Clarkson Over 20.5 Points

With Mike Conley out for injury management, Clarkson will get to see more minutes. Clarkson has dropped 20+ in 2 straight games off the bench. During Mike Conley’s extended absence this season of 7 games, Clarkson averaged 20.3 PPG. He scored 17+ in 5 of 7 games, and surprisingly, he shot the ball terribly during this stretch. Several games of 4/15 shooting. 4 of those games were below 37% from the field which is terrible. The good news is he attempted 15+ shots in every game he played in without Conley. He should have an easier job scoring against a pitiful Wizards defense.

 

Knicks vs. Magic Under 209 Points

Make this line 200 and I’d still take the under. When these two teams matchup, the under hits. Those are just the rules. As a Knicks fan and an Orlando native, I have sadly watched this matchup way too many times. It turns into a brick fest and you just want to turn it off after 3 minutes. Now, that is what it is when the teams are healthy. Today that is not the case as both teams are missing key starters and rotational players. As for the under, here are the scores in their last 4 matchups: 107-89, 84-91, 103-105, 95-83. I think you get the point. I am taking the under because I can’t count on either of these two teams to break 100 points, which will be needed to hit this over.

 

Jazz-10 vs. Wizards

With Russell Westbrook projected to miss today’s game, we will get to see the 2019-2020 Wizards. One of the worst teams in basketball and now the Jazz are coming into town. Say what you want about the Jazz, they haven’t been great lately and Mike Conley will be out but that doesn’t concern me. What does concern me is who scores the ball for Washington when Beal is off the floor? Raul Neto, Garrison Matthews, Davis Bertans, Alex Len, Rui Hachimura. Exactly. Utah is 20-6 ATS coming off a win, granted a lot of that success was during their remarkable stretch of winning games and covering, but this Wizards team is bad. The Jazz as 7-8 point favorites always tend to lose outright. The Jazz as double digit favorites are good (at least I think they are). I lean the Jazz to win and cover on the road.

 

Timberwolves vs. Suns Over 228 Points

The over has hit in 5 consecutive Timberwolves’ road games. The new T-Wolves coaching staff urges them to play at a blazing speed with not a lot of defense. Here are the past 5 : 258, 226, 246, 240, 237. They are giving up and scoring a lot of points. The Suns on the other hand are scoring at will. They have dropped 120+ points in 3 of 4 games. Sure, they do boast one of the best defenses in the league in terms of rating, but they won’t need to flex that defense when they can simply outscore the Timberwolves. We lock in the over.

 

Parlay of the Day:

Record: 4-3 (+9.35 units)

Jazz ML, Over 228.5 in Suns/Timberwolves, Under 209 Magic/Knicks +330

 

Longshot Parlay of the Day:

Record: 1-4 (+2.1 units)

Damian Lillard 35+ points, Anthony Edwards 25+ points, LeBron Triple Double (+2198)

 

Those are my NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for Thursday, March 18th.  Here’s to hoping we bank together.

Also, follow us on Twitter @CallingOurShot.

And, check out how my favorite DFS lineup below as well as some value plays! We will be back tomorrow for more NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads for Friday, March 19th.

NBA DFS Thursday, March 18th: Value Plays & My Lineup

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1 Comment

  1. […] get into my value plays for March 18th! We post daily NBA player props and spread bets that we like everyday. Find those linked below as well as on our ‘NBA Betting’ Tab on […]

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