NBA Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Friday, 3/19/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Bets Season Record: 218-174-1 (+36.6 units)
18-7-1 run over the last 4 days. Let’s stay hot!
Michael Porter Jr. Over 24.5 Points+Rebounds
MPJ has been on an absolute tear lately with at least 20 points and 8 rebounds in 5 straight games. The last time these two teams played on March 1st, he had 17 points 15 rebounds. The Nuggets are getting him the ball more often and he is shooting it very efficiently, and the Nuggets are playing him over 30 minutes per game most nights. He should continue this consistency as the Bulls come to town.
Christian Wood Over In Points
In what has turned into a lost season for the Houston Rockets after losing 18 straight games, miraculously, they are favored in a game. Granted it’s against the Pistons so don’t get your hopes up Rockets fans. But, Christian Wood is back and this game means a lot to him, and as his #1 fan, I will back him tonight. In his first game back he played 26 minutes and dropped 21 and 9. I expect more tonight. Even if Wall and/or Oladipo returns, they know they should force feed Wood the ball. The Pistons disrespected Wood with their offer to him in free agency, so now it’s personal. I am taking Wood’s Over in Points. Let the man eat.
Jayson Tatum Over 26.5 Points
Tatum dropped 27 points on 11/26 shooting the last time these two teams played. He has scored 27+ points in 4 of his last 5 games including back to back 29 point efforts. Tatum is attempting mores shots recently and this game against the Kings will about as high scoring as it gets. No one on the Kings can match Tatum’s skillset and make it tough on him defensively. I expect another big Tatum outing against the Kings.
Ricky Rubio Under 21.5 PRAs
Ricky Rubio treated us well last night so we are coming back to the well for more. You heard the analysis yesterday that the Suns give up the least assists to opposing point guards at just 7 per game. Rubio proved that true with only 5 assists yesterday, chipping in 6 points and a rebound to go along with it. These Suns are a good defensive team and Rubio should struggle yet again.
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Under 224.5
With Stephen Curry listed as doubtful for tonight’s game, I sit here and ponder how the Warriors will score points. Starting Nico Mannion, the rookie out of Arizona, is not the answer. The last game Curry did not start, the Warriors barely cracked 100 points. The Grizzlies have not broken 100 in back to back games. The Warriors will try to slow this game down to a snails pace and win off their defense. I do lean towards the Grizzlies to cover, but I like the under far more.
Pistons/Rockets Under 217.5 Points
I am not sure what Vegas is thinking. This game will be identical to Knicks vs. Magic last night. I don’t know where the points are coming from. You can wait to post this until John Wall is back or not, but when Houston is at home the over is 4-13-1. The Pistons cannot score and neither can the Rockets. The most points the Rockets have scored in their last 5 games is 107, and that included matchups against the Hawks, Kings, Jazz, Warriors, all very high scoring teams yet the Rockets have struggled. Lucky for them, the Pistons are not that. Also, when Houston is a Home Favorite the Under is 1-5-1. Useless Stat of the Day: The total has gone under in 13 of Houston’s last 14 games against an opponent in the Central Division division.
Heat-4.5 vs. Pacers
The Pacers are a team that you look at and say ‘you know what, they should win this game’ and then when it’s all said and done, they don’t win. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games, whereas the Heat are 8-2. The Heat are coming off a disappointing loss to the Grizzlies 89-85. Indiana is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Miami and 4-16 SU at Miami in their last 20 games. Not to mention that the Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Friday Games. That’s enough for me. I am taking the Heat to stifle the Pacers at home.
Parlay of the Day:
Record: 4-4 (+8.85 units)
Nets ML, Heat-4.5, Under in Rockets/Pistons +380
Longshot Parlay of the Day:
Record: 1-5 (+1.8 units)
Jayson Tatum 30+ points/win, Michael Porter Jr 20+ points/win, James Harden Double Double/Win +1900
Harden, Sabonis and Jokic All Triple Double+3202
Those are my NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for Friday, March 19th. Here’s to hoping we bank together.
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And, check out how my favorite DFS lineup below as well as some value plays! We will be back tomorrow for more NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads for Saturday, March 20th.