NBA Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Saturday, 3/20/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Bets Season Record: 221-177-1 (+35.6 units)
21-10-1 run over the last 4 days. Let’s stay hot!
Trae Young Over 8.5 Assists -130
This is a collab play with one of our subscribers and frequent Discord users, Alex or In Discord ‘Walking Out The Bank Like’. We are on Trae Young tonight and here’s why. Last time these two teams played back on February 1st, Trae Young finished with 16 assists. He’s cashed this over in 3 of his past 4 games, and 5 of his last 8, one of those games being in a blowout without Clint Capela, who he averages over half an assist more when active (Capela will be active tonight), but let’s dive deeper. The Hawks should be able to hang around in this game as the last time these two teams played, Anthony Davis was active. Trae is averaging 9.3 APG against teams in the top 10 of defensive efficiency (where the Lakers find themselves).
Gordon Hayward Under 17.5 Points (-120)
Gordon Hayward started the season so well, but he has cooled off recently and truthfully, it’s not 100% his fault. If he gets the shot attempts up, he could hit this over but that’s where the problem lies. For starters, Hayward has attempted 8 or fewer shots in 3 of his past 4 games. The under has cashed 4 of his past 5 games. And now let’s look at matchup. The Clippers give up the fewest points in the league to opposing Small Forwards. Obviously, you have great defending wings in PG and Kawhi. They will make Hayward work for every point, and that’s even if he is being aggressive. Hayward has the skill-set to hit this over, but the numbers stack up against him. If he comes out and shoots 20+ times then so be it, but if he has another game of just 8-10 shot attempts, this under should be cash.
Ben Simmons Over 16.5 Rebs+Asts (-130)
I will no longer be betting on Simmons to score points as that is not stable, instead, I will be on him filling the stat-sheet (sneak peak for the triple double longshot parlay of the day). Since Embiid went down, Simmons has been filling it up. 22 Rebounds and Assists last game against Milwaukee. 20 combined against the Knicks, and then just 13 against the Spurs in a game he played 26 minutes in a blowout. I like him to get to this over again tonight. It’s a great matchup against the Kings who play as fast as anyone else in the league. A lot of opportunities for assists and rebounds off missed shots with the extra possessions. I’m rocking with Ben Simmons to get it done against Sacramento.
LaMelo Ball Over 11.5 Rebs+Asts (-118)
He has cleared this number in 8 of 10 games. Both team love to launch it from deep, leaving plenty of long misses for him to clean up. The total for this game is set at 231.5, so Vegas expects a high paced, high scoring game. LaMelo has shown the ability to fill up the stat sheet, and he’s playing again at the Staples Center where he just had 12 combined RA’s. A line you should consider tonight.
Look into Montrezl Harrell tonight. Disappointing game a couple nights ago, but he did have 19 points the last time these two teams played. He could exploit that Hawks second unit that doesn’t have a bigman.
Hornets vs. Clippers Over 230.5
As we’ve talked about over and over again here, the Hornets like to cash the over on the road. We stayed away last game because it was against the Lakers, but tonight is different. Hornets Road Games have cashed the over in 15 of 20 games. The total has gone over in 10 of Charlotte’s last 11 games on the road. 0The Clippers tend to play up to the pace of their competition. They hit overs in the Pelicans the Warriors game recently. Both of these teams are in the top 6 in 3 points %, the Clippers being 1st, Hornets are 6th. In a game that should be very up and down, I will take the over.
Lakers-4 vs. Hawks
Sure, the Hawks are on a 7 game winning streak. The Lakers are on their own streak of 4 games beating the Warriors, Pacers, Timberwolves and Hornets. Here are the teams that the Hawks have beaten during this streak: Thunder, Rockets, Cavaliers, Kings, Raptors (banged up), Magic, and Heat (minus Jimmy Butler). Not a single good team there. The Hawks are 1-8 in their last 8 games against the Lakers and 2-12 in their last 14 games at the Staples Center. I am rocking with LBJ and company to bring home the win tonight. I do expect the Hawks to keep it close but LeBron can put them away in the 4th.
Grizzlies-6 vs. Warriors
Vegas saw the Warriors beat up on the Grizzlies who were 9 point favorites last night and decided to hit us with the Grizzlies again, just a couple less points. As we have seen this year, it is hard to beat a team back to back and I think the Grizzlies bounce back in a big way. There’s no way that the Warriors will get 86 points out of Wiggins, Jordan Poole and Damion Lee. That will not happen again. I think the Grizzlies cover and win big tonight. When it doesn’t make sense, you take it. See the Suns-11 yesterday and the same over/under as the day before when they lost outright to the Timberwolves. What happened? The Suns covered and the total went under, which was a complete switch from the game before. So with that logic, we take Grizzlies and the Under.
Parlay of the Day:
Record: 4-5 (+8.45 units)
Clippers ML, Lakers 4, Ben Simmons O16.5 Ras. +300
Longshot Parlay of the Day:
Record: 1-7 (+1.3 units)
Ja Morant 20+ points/Win, Trae 10+ Assists, Ben Simmons 10+ rebounds (+1584)