NBA Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Wednesday, 3/24/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 236-190-1 (+35.6 units)
5-3 yesterday. Big slate inbound!
Nikola Jokic Over 18.5 Rebs+Asts
The MVP frontrunner has been playing lights out in March. It’s hard to argue about betting any of his unders ever. This specific bet, he has hit in 11, yes 11 straight games. The matchup against the Raptors is about as good as it gets. The Raptors give up the 5th most rebounds per game, and then we already know how lethal Jokic’s assist game is. If this moves up, which I am certain it will, it might be worth taking a look at his assists number. Either way, he should hit it. He’s hit 20 RA’s in 10 of 11 games. Here are his combined numbers against the Raptors dating back to 2017: 3 (he only played 10 minutes, we don’t count this), 29, 14, 26, 24, 26. I love this bet. Lock it in for Jokic.
Buddy Hield Over 4.5 Rebounds
Shoutout to Reece in the Discord for this bet, but Hield has hit 5+ rebounds in 8 of his past 9 games. It is a tad concerning that the one game he missed it was against the Atlanta Hawks (who they play tonight) but he ended at 4 that night so we aren’t worried too much. Hield has been consistent lately and this should be another high paced game with plenty of opportunities for rebounds. We are taking Mr. Hield.
Harrison Barnes Over 11.5 Rebs+Asts
Two Kings Props? Yeah, I am in. In the 3 games that Marvin Bagley has missed (who will miss again tonight), Barnes has been killing this stat out of the park. He had 18 combined against the Cavs on Monday, then 12 and then 16. It is worth nothing that he also had 12 against the Hawks the last time these two teams played. He should be able to do it again tonight.
Clint Capela Over 13.5 Rebounds
I liked this much better when it was at 12.5, but I would still consider it here in this spot. Capela has had 14+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games (including 14 against the Kings). That was even when they use the Hack-A-Capela strategy which they could go to again tonight. Either way, the matchup is great vs. Sacramento. The Kings give up nearly 17 rebounds per game to opposing Centers (the most in the league). Capela can get it done tonight.
Gordon Hayward Over 11.5 Rebs+Asts
With LaMelo Ball out, the Hornets are turning to Gordon Hayward even more to help generate offense for his team. In the first game without LaMelo, Hayward had 7 rebounds and 6 assists and that was even in a game when he had 27 points (so you wouldn’t expect him to be passing this much). He has also hit this number in 3 straight games and you’re getting it at good odds. I like Hayward to continue his consistency.
Thaddeus Young Over 6.5 Rebounds (-122)
Young has hit this line in 8 straight games. If it goes up, might be worth pivoting to his rebs+asts line, but Young is filling it up. Young has grabbed 8+ rebounds in 7 of those 8 games. He should play another 25ish minutes tonight and be able to get the 7 rebounds we need. The Cavs are the same team that gave up 21 rebounds to Keldon Johnson (and 12 to Jakob Poetl in the same game) as well as 16 rebounds and 10 rebounds to Richaun Holmes and Harrison Barnes. Thaddeus Young can easily hit this number tonight.
Rudy Gobert Over 13.5 Rebounds
The last time the Nets and Jazz matched up it was in January and the Jazz lost by 34 and that was when the Nets only had Kyrie Irving (no James Harden and No Kevin Durant that night). Naturally, in the blowout, Gobert only played 27 minutes and racked up 11 rebounds. Prior to that game, here were Gobert’s rebound numbers against the Nets dating back to 2016: 18, 15, 17, 16, 7, 16, 19. The Nets just gave up 19 rebounds to Kanter, 9, 10 and 13 to Westbrook, Len and Hachimura. 14 to Vucevic. You get the point. You can pile up rebounds against this Brooklyn team. Lock in Gobert as my final play of the night. Gobert averages 13.5 RPG and constantly is near this number at 13+ rebounds in 4 of his past 6. Good matchup should push him over the top.
Nuggets-1 vs Raptors
This feels like a trap, I won’t lie to you, but I am willing to lose money against the far better team at this moment. The Raptors just lost to the Rockets for crying out loud. Nuggets are coming off a dominant win over the Magic and should be able to roll that into a win against Toronto. As of this moment, everyone looks healthy and active for the Nuggets, so I am taking them to win and cover.
Suns-7.5 vs. Magic
The Magic played as best as they could in that second half against the Denver Nuggets. I anticipate they will be out of juice for this back to back. The Suns play great defense, and should be easily able to stifle this Magic offense. The Suns beat the Magic by 19 back on Valentine’s Day (February 14th), no reason they can’t do the same thing tonight.
Hornets or Hawks -3 vs. Rockets, vs. Kings
Both teams are the better team in their matchup and playing better. These are my 2 biggest leans of the day. Hornets should beat the Rockets although I don’t know if their recent win will spark some momentum. The Hawks just beat the Kings 11 days ago by 15 points, no reason they can’t do it again after blowing that big lead against the Clippers, they should bounceback today.
Parlay of the Day:
Record: 5-8 (+9.05 units)
Nikola Jokic Over 18.5 Rebs+Asts, Barnes Over 11.5 Rebs+Asts, Gobert over 13.5 Rebs: +503
Longshot Parlay of the Day:
Record: 1-10 (+0.6 units)
Nikola Jokic Triple Double/Win + Rudy Gobert 16+ Rebs/Win +2400
For my DFS fans out there, this is the lineup I will be rocking:
PG: Ricky Rubio, Tomas Satoransky
SG: James Harden, Marcus Smart
SF: Michael Porter Jr., Josh Richardson
PF: Pascal Siakam, Nicolas Claxton
C: Rudy Gobert