NBA Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Friday, 3/26/2021
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 241-200-1 (+31.3 units)
4-2 yesterday! Let’s keep this momentum going into Friday!
Jaylen Brown Over 32.5 PRAs
Jaylen Brown has been great this year, especially recently when it comes to cashing this PRA line. He has cashed this line in 6 straight games, as well as in both games this season against Milwaukee (including 36 on Wednesday). His game log recently: 36, 41, 41, 33, 35, 40. He should be able to exploit this Bucks defense and I do like his over in points as well. I will go on the safer side and take the PRA line.
Eric Bledsoe Under 9.5 Points
I will ride this into the ground. Eric Bledsoe has broken double digits just once since the All Star Break (and that’s been 7 games). The man can’t buy a bucket and he’s given the Pelicans even more reason to start playing the younger guys more and more minutes. He has this over in just 1 of his past 8 games. Bledsoe has scored 7 or less points in 6 of those games, and 2 or less in 3 of those games. I have said enough. Prove me wrong, Eric.
Clint Capela Over 13.5 Rebounds (-142)
Sure, the odds aren’t great but it’s for good reason. They are giving up 22.3 RPG to opposing centers over their past 7 games. That includes 15 and 16 boards to Valanciunas. 24 combined to Tony Bradley and Dwight Howard. Capela, who has had 14+ rebounds in 3 straight and 8 of his last 9 games, should be a prop you look at tonight.
Kemba Walker Over 4.5 Assists (-105)
Walkers has hit this number in 8 of his last 10 games including last game against Milwaukee when he had 6 assists. He’s averaging over 5 assists on the month, and Milwaukee has quietly allowed the 7th most assists per game to opposing point guards at over 9 in their last 7 games. He’s hit this number in 2 of his 4 games against Milwaukee as a Celtic. One of those games he played 19 minutes, the other game he dropped 40 points. I don’t expect either of those tonight, so he should cruise to this assists over.
Ricky Rubio Over 7.5 Assists (+100)
Ricky Rubio doesn’t usually make this list for overs but tonight felt like a good reason to bring him on. Rubio has hit 8+ assists in 6 of his past 9 games. A matchup against the Rockets is about as good as it gets. They are giving up the 3rd most assists per game to opposing point guards over their past 15 games. We have seen players like Lowry, Delon Wright, Stephen Curry (and Draymond Green), Trae Young all in the past 6 games get over 8 assists against this Rockets team. Not saying that Rubio is better than them, but assisting is about all he is good at. I will take his over in assists tonight.
Suns-4.5 vs. Raptors
I know, the whole world was just burned by the Raptors shooting lights out against the Nuggets and the Suns losing outright to the Magic. I chalk that up to NBA abnormality. The Suns are clearly the better team and the Raptors are going to experience the loss of Norm Powell, one of the best and most efficient scorers in the NBA. We take the Suns to win and cover on the road tonight.
Magic’s Team Total Under
Oh brother, as an Orlando Magic fan/supporter/watcher, this game could get ugly (not that we aren’t used to that). The Magic are starting arguably the worst lineup I have ever seen constructed. Here it is (according to the FanDuel Website): Michael Carter-Williams, Dwayne Bacon, James Ennis, Chuma Okeke, Khem Birch. Ew. I shouldn’t even be allowed to say that on YouTube or write it on this website. I will take the Team Total Under for the Magic. Whatever it is. Make it 80 points, I don’t care. They cannot score.
Pelicans+2 vs. Nuggets
I won’t tolerate the disrespect against the greatest team in the NBA, the home underdog Pelicans. The home underdog Pelicans are 7-2 ATS and 7-2 SU, so not only are they covering, they are winning too. Now, it is a bit of a risk without Lonzo, but I have to support my Pelicans regardless of who is out there or not. Plus these Nuggets just got absolutely abused by the Raptors, granted that was Vegas’ doing in the Trap of a Century. Let me down, Pelicans, I am ready for it.
Parlay of the Day:
Suns-4.5, Blazers ML, Jazz ML, Hawks-5.5 +406
Longshot Parlay of the Day:
Clint Capela Double Double/Win, Rudy Gobert Double Double/Win, Devin Booker 25+/Win, Orlando Magic Team Total Under +1600
No DFS lineup at this moment. If I do create one, I will put it in the Discord DFS tab!
Those are my NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for Friday, March 26th. Here’s to hoping we bank together.
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And, check out my way-too-early NBA Mock Draft from earlier this year!