NBA Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Wednesday, 3/31/2021
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 260-212-1 (+37.1 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Malik Beasley Under 18.5 Points
Since his return from suspension, he has averaged just 11 PPG on 30 minutes per game. For a guy that fires up a ton of 3 pointers, the Knicks are one of the worst matchups for him. They are great at defending the 3 and Malik should struggle to score points and get his shots up. Earlier this season, Beasley scored just 6 points on 6 shots against the Knicks in 38 minutes. While I don’t expect that low of production, I still expect him under this 18.5 point line tonight.
Jimmy Butler Over 7.5 Rebounds
Jimmy Butler hit this in both of their previous matchups on March 19th and March 21st. The Pacers have allowed the most rebounds per game to opposing small forwards over their last 7 games at over 10 per game. Despite not hitting this in his past two games, he should get back on track tonight in Indianapolis. He is averaging 7.7 RPG on the year, so this number is in his wheel house. He has hit this over in 20 of his past 28 games. I like those odds and I am taking it.
Dejounte Murray Over 5.5 Assists
Great Value on this pick at +118. Murray has hit this number in 3 straight games actually hitting 7+ assists in all 3 (including 7 against this Kings team a couple nights ago). While he doesn’t usually hit this number, the Spurs were putting the ball in his hands more often and the Kings have allowed the 11th most APG to opposing point guards over their past 15 games.
CJ McCollum Over 21.5 Points
CJ is getting back into the full swing of things hitting this over in 3 straight games. The reason I am taking this is because he is shooting 18+ times a night and with a player of his talent and skill level, I expect him to hit the over on that many attempts. It is worth noting that Norm Powell exposed this Pistons defense in back to back games with 36 and 43 points earlier this month. Would not be surprised to see CJ get over the 22 point mark today with ease.
Jonas Valanciunas Over 12.5 Rebounds
While I don’t love betting on Jonas, it is hard to deny this matchup. Jonas has hit this line in 8 of his past 10 games, and he’s been hitting it with ease. 15+ rebounds in 7 of those 10 games. I love the matchup against Gobert primarily because Jonas will be able to chill in the paint all night long. In his past 5 matchups against Utah, Valanciunas hit this over in 3 of those games. The 2 games he missed were because he only got 21 minutes of playing time, for a 28 MPG player. He should see his normal minutes tonight and hit this number.
Suns-6 vs. Bulls
The Bulls have lost 4 straight games by at least 9 points. 3 of those losses coming by 14+ points. The Suns are clearly the better team in this matchup and they are at home. Suns should be able to win and cover easily. It’s worth monitoring the LaVine injury because if he is out, this spread should go up even more. Lock it in now.
Raptors-7.5 vs. Thunder
I don’t love this pick, but the Raptors are clearly the more talented team here and they are going to have to start winning games if they want to make the playoffs Oddly enough, the Thunder have a better record than the Raptors. But, the Thunder, losers of 3 straight games, will again be without Shai Gilgeous Alexander, Lu Dort, Daris Bazley, Mike Muscala and of course, Al Horford, who they shut down for the season. I’ll take the Raptors.
Parlay of the Day:
CJ McCollum Over 21.5 Points, Raptors ML, Suns-6 +356
Longshot Parlay of the Day:
5 legs: Jimmy Butler Over 7.5 rebounds, CJ McCollum Over 21.5 Points, Dejounte Murray Over 5.5 Assists, Jonas Valanciunas Over 12.5 Rebounds, Suns-6:+2446
Hamidou Diallo, Mike Conley, Joe Ingles, Tyrese Haliburton, OG Anunoby, RJ Barrett, Isaiah Stewart, Julius Randle, Bam Adebayo
Those are my NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for Wednesday, March 31st. Here’s to hoping we bank together.
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And, check out my way-too-early NBA Mock Draft from earlier this year!