NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets, Spreads & DFS Lineup: Thursday, 4/1/21


NBA Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Thursday, 4/1/2021

 This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.

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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!


NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 263-216-1 (+35.9 units)

Here is today’s slate!


Gordon Hayward Over 6.5 Rebounds (-104) vs. Nets

Hayward has been hitting this with ease (except the one time we picked him….of course). Hayward has hit this over in 6 of his last 7 games. He’s on the glass more and the matchup against the Nets is not a bad one. Hayward should be able to get up to 7 rebounds for the 7th time in 8 games. Don’t do this again to us, Gordon.


Clint Capela Over 13.5 Rebounds vs. Spurs

Clint Capela has been an absolute stud this season on the glass averaging over 14 rebounds per game. He has had 14+ rebounds in 10 of his last 12 games. These two teams did play earlier this season and Capela managed just 11 rebounds, but that was in 21 minutes of action as opposed to his typical 29-30 MPG. Prior to last game, Capela had 15+ rebounds against the Spurs in 4 straight games as a Houston Rocket. The matchup is great against the Spurs. They just gave up 15 rebounds to Richaun Holmes. Capela gets this done tonight for us.


Draymond Green Under 7.5 Points (-122) vs. Heat

Prior to last game when he went 3/5 from 3 (and I believe that included a logo shot), Draymond had not hit this over in 4 straight games. With Curry back, he should become more of a facilitator. In his last 5 matchups against Miami dating back to 2017, Draymond has not hit this over once. I am locking in the Draymond under.


Russell Westbrook Over In Rebounds

If it is 10.5, I take it again. I don’t have a line for any Wizards props but if it’s 10.5, I am all in on it. Westbrook has had 13+ rebounds in 7 of his past 8 games, so even 10.5 is too low for what he has been doing. We will analyze this line when we get it.


Cavaliers/Sixers Under 213.5

Points? Never heard of ’em. The last time these two teams played, they combined for 221 points. Well, that included an overtime session when they combined for 37 points alone which is insane for a 5 minute period. If it weren’t for overtime, they wouldn’t have broken the 190s. Both of these two teams struggle to score the ball and they play very slow. The Cavaliers have not broken 100 points in 3 straight games. With Embiid out, the Sixers have been averaging fewer and fewer points and although Embiid is returning soon, it is not today. Take the under.


Heat/Warriors Under 220.5

Similar story to the one above, these two teams played and hit the over scoring 232 points but that included an overtime session of 22 points so the under was the play, just got unlucky. 220 points is too many for a Miami Heat game. They don’t want to be in a high scoring game. They want a grueling, defensive game, as we have seen by some of their recent scores. In the whole month of March (14 games), they hit this number just twice. Once against the Blazers who don’t play an ounce of defense. The other time against the Pacers who shot 20/36 from 3 that night and scored 137 points. Those seem like outliers. We will take the under.





Parlay of the Day:

Draymond Green Under 7.5 Points, Clint Capela Over 13.5 Rebounds, Sixers/Cavs Under 214. +542


Longshot Parlay of the Day:

5 legs: Heat/Warriors Under, Sixers/Cavs Under, Capela Over 13.5 Rebounds, Gordon Hayward Over 6.5 Rebounds, Westbrook Over in Rebounds +2400


DFS Lineup:

Russell Westbrook, Terry Rozier, Bruce Brown, Dwayne Bacon, Gordon Hayward, Danilo Gallinari, Chuma Okeke, Blake Griffin, Clint Capela


MLB Opening Day Props:

Shane Bieber Over 8.5 Strikeouts (-102) vs. Tigers

Last year (as a team), the Detroit Tigers struck out 567 times (the 6th most in the MLB). In limited action given the pandemic, Bieber started 12 games and hit this over in 9 of them including 2 games against the Tigers when he recorded 10 and 11 strikeouts. I like the value, and I think he can easily hit this total.


Ryu vs. Gerrit Cole: Blue Jays vs. Yankees Under 8 runs

Great pitching matchup. In his last 2 starts against the Blue Jays, they have managed a combined 3 runs. The over still hit in those 2 games because the Yankees scored double digit runs in each of them. Sadly for the Yankees, they get Ree-YOO on the mound. A career ERA under 3. He should be able to control the Yankees and limit the score in this game. Also, the real reason we are here is because a FanDuel odds boost has the Yankees win and over 8 runs scored. Those can’t hit, so we take the under.


Padres Over Diamondbacks, Dodgers over Rockets ML Parlay +105

Both of these teams are the overwhelming favorite, combining them together is +105 value which is superb. I expect both of these two teams to win easily, and that’s why we combine them into a single parlay.


Ryan Mountcastle 2+ hits: +145

Last year, Mountcastle hit .333 in his 35 games played. He matched up against Nathan Eovaldi once and went 2/3. If you don’t know the name, you will know it soon. Ryan Mountcastle might even mess around and hit a homerun today at +650 odds. He’s also your AL ROTY so lock that in at +1000 odds while you still can.


Those are my NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for Thursday, April 1st.  Here’s to hoping we bank together. 

Also, follow us on Twitter @CallingOurShot.

And, check out my way-too-early NBA Mock Draft from earlier this year!

NBA 2021 Mock Draft: Does Cade Cunningham go #1?

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