NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets, Spreads, NRFI’s & More: Tuesday, 4/6/21

NBA & MLB

NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Tuesday, 4/6/2021

 This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.

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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!

 

NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 280-237-1 (+34.9 units)

MLB Best Bets Record: 15-10 (+3.8 units)

Here is today’s slate!

 

Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists

Adebayo has been an assist machine lately, with 5+ assists in 17 of his last 22 games. The matchup against the Grizzlies is not scary one bit. These two teams played a couple weeks ago on March 17th and Bam had 6 assists then. He should continue hitting this number consistently. To add more into the fire, over their last 15 games, the Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd most assists to opposing centers per game. Lock it in.

 

Victor Oladipo Over 3.5 Assists

We are keeping it in Miami. Sure, this is a -160 play but a winner is a winner. 4.5 still works. In his two games with the Heat, he has had 5 assists in each and that has been on 23 and 29 minutes. He should continue to see more and more minutes per game and that should lead to better and better stats. Don’t think twice. Lock in the Oladipo over as well.

 

Jaylen Brown Over 21.5 Points

Brown’s point prop shouldn’t be this low. He has hit this point total in 9 of his past 12 games and now he gets a matchup against a Sixers team that he constantly exploits. In his last 3 matchups against Philadelphia, he has had 42, 26 and 32 points (the 42 and 26 happening this year). He’s been beasting and feasting against their defense and I expect that to once again continue tonight.

 

Joel Embiid Over 27.5 Points

Back to the same game, but now on Joel Embiid. This is a matchup play, and Embiid hates the Celtics. Robert Williams is their new starting center, and while he is better defensively than Daniel Theis or Tristan Thompson ever was, he won’t be able to stop the Process tonight. Over the last 4 games in which Embiid saw more than 23 minutes against this Celtics team, he scored no fewer than 37 points. They just feed him and he goes to work in the paint and at the free throw line. Sure, he’s coming back from injury but he still dropped 24 points in limited action and that was missing some free throws and shots that he normally makes. We take the over today.

 

Bulls+1.5 vs. Pacers

At this moment, it appears Brogdon and Sabonis will both be out and if that is the case, I like the Bulls more and more. They had lost 5 straight games, but then they got a big win against the Brooklyn Nets and they finally looked like a team. I expect them to build that into some momentum for a postseason push. They need to start winning games, and the Pacers just aren’t that good without those two players. We take the Bulls tonight, but not with a lot of confidence and only if Sabonis and Brogdon are truthfully out.

 

Lakers+2.5 vs. Raptors

Every time I bet against the Raptors, they show up to destroy my existence. Well we are doing it again. The Lakers need to beat teams that they have a chance again. Without LeBron and AD, they won’t beat the Bucks and Clippers teams of the NBA, but they’ve handled the teams they need to handle like the Kings, Magic and Cavaliers recently (and the Raptors fall into the same group of teams without VanVleet (projected out) and Kyle Lowry (already out)). I don’t love trusting the Lakers and their scrubs, but I will tonight.

 

Parlay of the Day:

Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists, Jaylen Brown over 21.5 Points, Bulls+1.5 = +602

 

Long Shot Parlay of the Day:

Same as above, but throw in Lakers+2.5 and Bucks ML =+1733

 

 

 

 

 

 

MLB Props, Runlines, Over/Unders, NRFIs:

4-1 Yesterday, +600 Parlay of the Day cashes!

 

Twins ML vs. Tigers

The Twins absolutely whipped up on the Tigers in the first game of their series 15-6. Never in doubt. While I don’t think the lop sided victory will occur again, the Twins are simply the better team. Better pitching, bull pen and hitting. Take the Twins with confidence here .

Astros ML vs. Astros

This game is a virtual pick ’em at the time of making these picks but I give the edge to the Astros for a couple reasons. 1) I like Greinke over canning. In his first start this year, Greinke went 6 innings gave up only 3 hits and struck out 4 against Oakland. This is going to be a big year for him. 2) Astros hitting- Astros bats are producing so far. Correa, Bregman and crew are getting it done. 

Yankees vs. Orioles: Under 8 Runs

We have Gerrit Cole starting for the Yankees which is rather unfortunate for an Orioles team that just got shut out yesterday. Yankees scored off a Stanton Grand Slam, so their run total looks a little inflated. Their bats might be waking up, but I don’t see a high scoring game breaking out. Hammer the under once again, going back to the well. 

NRFI in Braves vs. Nationals

This was the one pick that held us back from the clean sweep (thanks Tigers’ Pitcher for nothing). We ride with these two teams in what should be a great pitching duel. We have been cold on these so far, but today we heat up. Take the No Run First Inning (NRFI)!

Max Scherzer Over in Strikeouts vs. Braves

I don’t care what the line is, the Braves are striking out at a high clip. 10, 14 and 11 are the past three total strikeout numbers for the Braves. Bats are asleep so far, and facing an ace in Scherzer isn’t the answer. He’s one of the best pitchers in the game for a reason, and we finally get to see the Nationals play a baseball game. 

Parlay of the Day (back-to-back?):

Twins ML, Astros ML and Orioles Yankees under 8 runs: +506

Those are my NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for Tuesday, April 6th.  Here’s to hoping we bank together. 

Also, follow us on Twitter @CallingOurShot.

And, check out my way-too-early NBA Mock Draft from earlier this year!

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