NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Thursday, 4/8/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel! Over 2500 subscribers!
Also, join our Sports Betting Discord with over 900 members and counting. Text Channels for all sports to chat with others about and see what people are betting. Link is right here: https://discord.gg/C9gMv4mFKz
Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 287-243-1 (+34.7 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 20-15 (+3.5 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists -150
Rinse and repeat. Adebayo has been an assist machine lately, with 5+ assists in 18 of his last 23 games. We just picked this over a couple nights ago against the Grizzlies and Bam turned in 10 assists and a triple double. Sure, it is heavily juiced but a win is a win. Earlier in the season when these two teams played, Adebayo had 6 assists. We’ve seen centers like Karl Anthony-Towns easily hit this against the Lakers with 7 assists. Tonight, we take the over until they make it 5.5.
Darius Garland Over 5.5 Assists (-102)
Similar to the first play, we are going back to the well here. Garland has treated us nicely in the past and we are back for more. For starters, Garland has hit this in 3 straight games, with 7+ assists in each of those. The main reason we are here is because of the matchup though. Over their last 15 games, the Thunder are giving up over 9.6 assists per game to opposing point guards. Garland had 8 assists on them earlier this year, and 7 and 6 assists on them last year. I only will play this line at 5.5, but at that line, it feels like a winner.
Brook Lopez Over 5.5 Rebounds
Play at your own risk. Lopez isn’t known for being a huge rebounder, definitely does not hit this line consistently but we are choosing the matchup. In his last 6 games against the Mavericks, he has hit this line in 5 of the 6 including 11 rebounds in their only matchup this year. I know it’s tough to rally behind, but today, we pick Brook Lopez over 5.5 rebounds. It is worth nothing that I believe Kristaps Porzingis is out, so Boban Marjanovic should be starting.
Leans (not sure if I will play, but wanted to bring them to your attention):
Mason Plumlee Over in Rebounds
Hard to pass up the matchup against the Kings. He had 9 in the first matchup this season but was in foul trouble the whole game.
Kyle Kuzma Over 5.5 Rebs
This comes down to ‘do I want to lose money on Kyle Kuzma?’ and that will be the decision to make. He’s hit this in 7 of his last 9 games. Don’t hate the matchup against the Heat, but it is juiced at -140 so not sure if we have much of an edge here.
Bulls-3.5 vs. Raptors
The Bulls cashed out big time we played their spread against the Pacers a couple nights ago, and we are back. This Raptors team is no different than that Pacers team we bet against. For starters, they should again be without Lowry and VanVleet, and that’s enough for me. The Bulls have been playing better lately with impressive victories over the Pacers and Nets. I say they win and cover tonight.
Thunder Team Total Under 104.5 Points
I considered this game total under against the Cavs but I’ll just choose the Thunder in this one. The Thunder have not hit this number in 3 of their last 4 games. To spare everyone time, they have been without a majority of their starting cast and thus it is difficult to score points. Cavaliers games are usually slower paced, less scoring. I am counting on the Thunder to come out and brick up some shots.
Parlay of the Day:
Bam Adebayo Over 4.5 Assists, Brook Lopez Over 5.5 Rebounds, Darius Garland Over 5.5 Assists=+488
MLB Props, Runlines, Over/Unders, NRFIs:
Cubs/Pirates Under 8.5 Runs
This pick is sort of a reverse engineered pick based on the line. Cubs ML is -146 and their run line is +116. Arrieta only gave up 1 ER in the last time he played the Pirates so I feel a low scoring game in which either the Pirates keep it close or win outright. By no means would I bet on the 1-5 Pirates but I could easily see a 3-2 game here.
White Sox-1.5 vs. Royals
Get good value with this one currently at +122. In terms of starting pitching, we have Brad Keller vs. Lance Lynn. Edge: Lance Lynn. Last time we saw Keller in action was on April Fools day, and the man gave up 6 ER. Final score of that game was also a 14-10 win against Texas. I think the white Sox light him up and get the win here.
Blue Jays ML vs. Angels
Here’s a little redemption for my boys in blue. They left their offense at home against Texas yesterday. Looking at the box score, there’s several 0-4 or 1-4 and I know hitters like Grichuk are better than that. I’m thinking the bats heat up against Canning. Take the Blue Jays in a bounce back win.
Astros vs. Athletics Under 9.5 Runs
This line is interesting at even odds, but I’m going to go with the under based simply on the fact that each time these two teams played this year, the Astros score 8,9,9 runs respectively. If the odds makers expected this trend to continue, I’m not thinking they’d put the line at 9.5. essentially giving the A’s only a couple of runs. Cole Irvin did not have a strong showing against Houston the first time around (lost 9-1). Similarly to what we did with the Cubs Pirates game, we’re reverse engineering the line and predicting a lower scoring game here.
The opening line for the total runs in this game was 7.5 and I’m thinking we’re going to have a good ole fashioned scoreless inning. Cardinals have been scoreless in 4/6 games this year and for the Brew Crew? Even better. Scoreless in 5/6 first innings. Love the NRFI here.
Orioles/Red Sox NRFI
In 5 of their 6 games this season, both the Orioles and Red Sox have been scoreless in the first inning. This is just a numbers play, once again love the NRFI here.
Parlay of the Day:
Astros vs Athletics Under 9.5 Runs, Cubs vs Pirates Under 8.5 Runs, and Blue Jays ML. Odds come out to +558.
Let’s cash it.