NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets, Spreads, NRFI’s & more: Friday, 4/9/21

NBA & MLB

NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Friday, 4/9/2021

 This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.

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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!

 

NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 289-246-1 (+33.5 units)

MLB Best Bets Record: 24-17 (+4.9 units)

Here is today’s slate!

 

Julius Randle Over 16.5 Rebounds+Assists

Today, I woke up and felt a big Julius Randle game. Randle, the league’s favorite to win Most Improved Player, has been remarkable this year. He is averaging a combined 16.8 RA’s this season so this number is right in his wheel house, but the main reason is because the Grizzlies don’t have a power forward. They have Jaren Jackson Jr. and Brandon Clarke but both are out today. Over their last 15 games, they are allowing the 6th most rebounds to opposing power forwards at over 11. As a New York Knick, Randle has played the Grizzlies once. He had 14 rebounds and 6 assists. Not a bad day at the office. Let’s hit it again tonight. This is the same Grizzlies team that just gave up a triple double to Adebayo a couple nights ago.

 

Steph Curry Over 31.5 Points

The last two times Curry has played the Wizards, he has dropped 38 and 51 points. Granted this was a year or two ago, he has lit them up. I know, 32 is asking for a lot of points, but Vegas already is asking for a lot with their 241 projected game total. Since returning from injury, Curry has hit this in 4 straight games. He’s one of the best players in the NBA for a reason. I say he continues his dominance again tonight.

 

Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists

Jokic is averaging 12.3 assists per game over his last 3 games and that included 10 against the Spurs in their last matchup a couple nights ago. I believe Jamal Murray is back which will help him in the assists category. There’s a lot of mouths to feed on the Nuggets now, and Jokic does his best to get them all involved. He has hit this line in 3 of his last 4 games against San Antonio.

 

Kemba Walker Over 5.5 Assists

Man, I wish this line was 4.5 like it has been for weeks. Sadly, it is up to 5.5 but at +100 value, and I’m in. Walker has hit this in 4 straight games, one of which he even got injured in. But we take this because of the matchup. Over their last 15 games, the Timberwolves are giving up over 10.17 assists per game to opposing point guards (the 2nd most in the league over that time span). We take Kemba’s over.

 

Leans (thoughts about a couple other props):

Nikola Jokic Over 24.5 Points vs. Spurs

Assuming Jamal Murray doesn’t play, I’d be all over this. Current projections are that he is active, but if he is a late scratch I would definitely be in on this over. Jokic has hit this in his last 3 games against the Spurs.

 

Wendell Carter Jr. Over 14.5 Points vs. Pacers

Since being added to the starting lineup, he is averaging 17.8 PPG and 30+ MPG and gone over 15+ points in 4 straight. Matchup against the Pacers is as good as it gets right now as Myles Turner is out, and Sabonis potentially too. We just let KAT feast on that defense, and while Wendell is no Karl Anthony-Towns, he still can get you 15 points. I’ll consider adding this play later today, but wanted to bring it to your attention.

 

Trap of the Day:

Bulls+2 vs. Hawks

Vegas is begging for money on the Bulls. They are on a 3 game win streak, just beat up on the Raptors last night and now they get a Hawks team without Capela who is coming off of an 18 point loss to the Grizzlies. I won’t pick the Bulls and truthfully I would lean towards the Hawks because something doesn’t feel right about this line.

 

Sixers Team Total Over

I don’t have a line for this, but I would guess around 116ish, and the Sixers can do that. This is the home underdog Pelicans we are talking about but if you watched even a minute of the Nets-Pelicans game, you saw the Pels play no defense. Absolutely none. The Nets gave them 139 points, and that isn’t out of the norm. They have given up over 115 points in all of their last 5 games, including 123+ in 3 of the past 4. The Sixers have averaged 116 PPG against the Pelicans over their last 3 matchups. I say they get it done with a bunch of open shots.

 

Warriors-Wizards Over 239.5 points

Asking for a lot here, but both of these teams are capable of putting up a ton of points. The Wizards just combined for 247 and that was with the Orlando Magic of all teams. The Warriors just hit 243 with the Bucks. Both teams play super fast, and will score points at will. Lock it in.

 

Timberwolves vs. Celtics Over 228.5

Defense? Ever heard of it. Timberwolves certainly have not after they just gave up 141 points to the Pacers and combined to score 278 that night. We cashed the over in that game, and we will cash it again in this game. These teams played back in 2020, and combined for 244 points then. This should be an easy over tonight. Lock it in.

 

Parlay of the Day: No Player Props in the parlay today.

Wizards/Warriors Over 239.5 Points, Celtics/Timberwolves Over 228.5, Bucks ML, Nuggets ML=+504

 

MLB Props, Runlines, Over/Unders, NRFIs:

 

Dodgers/Nationals Over 8.5 Runs

I like the over in this one. I don’t think Buehler is unhittable and Ross has had a mixed result in some of his historical starts. Sometimes it’s 1 ER, sometimes it’s 7. I like the hitters on both sides as well. What’s not to like about the Dodgers hitters? They could only muster up 3 runs against the As in their last game, big things to come. 

 

Padres vs. Rangers Over 9 Runs

Hopefully this line doesn’t go up but I have a hunch this is going to be a 7-6 type game. The Rangers have had games where they’ve put up 7 or 10, and others where it’s a pedestrian 2-3. Padres have some big hitters as well, so I’m feeling an over. If I saw the line at 8 or 8.5 I might’ve been a little more skeptical but I got it at 9 where it’s rising. 

 

Blue Jays/Angels Over in Runs

These two teams definitely know how to swing the bats. Neither starting pitcher scares me especially not Heany who had 7 ER in his only start of the year so far. There’s also something interesting about the Blue Jays temporary home too. Could be a psychological thing but it just looks like a park you could send a ball to the moon on. Not much room in foul territory, definitely a hitters park. 

 

Braves ML vs. Phillies

I’m not sure why the Braves are favored here against the red hot Phillies. Is it a pride thing? Are they going to come out angry against the team that swept them already? Yes absolutely. Charlie Morton gave up 3 ER and lost 4-0 in his first meeting with Philly. I believe the Braves bats woke up against the Nationals and are here to stay. 

 

Giants/Rockies NRFI

Here’s a fun fact for ya, Giants are 6-0 as a team in this bet meaning they haven’t scored a first run inning all year. I like those odds. Can cueto get us 3 outs? Might be a challenge but I’m up for it. 

 

Rays/Yankees NRFI

Rays bats have been up and down this year and the top of their lineup doesn’t scare me that much. Given the strong pitching matchup as well, I like the NRFI here. 

 

Parlay of the Day:

Angels vs Blue Jays over, Braves ML, Padres vs Rangers over 9 runs. Odds come out to +527.

Let’s cash it.

 

Those are my NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for Friday, April 9th.  Here’s to hoping we bank together. 

Also, follow us on Twitter @CallingOurShot.

And, check out my way-too-early NBA Mock Draft from earlier this year!

NBA 2021 Mock Draft: Does Cade Cunningham go #1?

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