NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Monday, 4/12/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 298-255-1 (+32.5 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 36-22 (+7.9 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Zion Williamson Over in PRAs
Assuming Lonzo Ball is out, I am back in on this. They are letting Zion go to work with Lonzo out, as well as Josh Hart and Nickeil Alexander-Walker are out. Point Forward Zion has become a thing. First game, 37 15 and 8. Next game (last night), 38 9 and 4. Even if Lonzo is back, I will still take it, we will just get it at a lower number. Zion is a beast, and oh yeah, it’s the Sacramento Kings we are talking about. He should be able to get there with ease.
Stephen Curry Over 31.5 Points vs. Nuggets
Few players in the NBA are as hot as Stephen Curry is right now. Averaging 30 PPG, he has hit his over in 6 straight games scoring 36+ points in 3 of those games. The last time these two teams played, Curry dropped 35 on em. Facu will be guarding him, which doesn’t scare me. It’s hard to stop Curry, and I don’t think the Nuggets can tonight. Lock it in.
De’Aaron Fox Over 26.5 Points or PRAs at 38.5
I would take either line, but lean towards the PRAs for safety as he has absolutely cooked this Pelicans team this year. For starters, over their last 15 games, the Pelicans have given up over 29 points per game to opposing point guards (the most in the league). Also, Fox has feasted on them with arguably his two best games of the season: 38, 4 and 12 in one game, 43 4 and 13 in the other game. Say no more. The Pelicans are down guards with Hart and Nickeill out. Also, Lonzo could be out. Sign me up.
Nikola Vucevic Over 9.5 Rebounds (-124)
Similar thought process to Sabonis yesterday. Valanciunas won’t stretch the floor and Vucevic is going to have to box him out on the offensive glass. In his last two games against Memphis (as a member of the Orlando Magic), Vucevic had 11 and 16 rebounds. Just in their past 5 games, we have seen Sabonis get 15, Julius Randle 10 (even though he didn’t really guard Jonas), Onyeka Okongwu 11, Adeabyo 10, Dwight Howard 12. You get the point. We are taking the over tonight.
Leans: Karl Anthony-Towns Lines vs Nets.
31 12 and 5 in their last matchup. No lines up just yet, but definitely check them out.
Magic Team Total Under 107.5
Consider the game’s under here as well. We are back to the Magic’s team total under. It’s been a minute, but we have circled back. This number (and the game’s number at 220.5) is too high. The Magic have this over in just 5 of their last 17 games. Sure, the Spurs might not be the best defensive team in the league, but I feel like their slow pace, combined with the Magic’s shooting woes, should lead to an easy under. It’s worth nothing that these teams played a month ago to the day, the Magic scored a big…drumroll please….77 points. That’s not going to cut it my friends!
Timberwolves+9.5 vs. Nets
The Timberwolves are bad, but I think they can keep this game within 10 points. The did only lose by 5 to the Nets last time. Also, the Nets will be rocking just Kevin Durant and I doubt he will play full minutes. Harden and Irving are both out, so is Aldridge. Say less. We are rocking with the Timberwolves.
Other Leans (not ‘official’ plays):
Knicks/Lakers Under 205.5.
Line looks low, so we take it. Combined for 192 last matchup.
Over 228.5 Suns-Rockets.
These teams combined for 260+ in their last matchup. Suns won’t play any defense because they can outscore this team.
Parlay of the Day:
Let’s cash 2 in a row!
Zion Over PRAs, Vucevic Over 9.5 Rebounds, Timberwolves+9.5
MLB Props, Run Lines, Over/Unders, NRFIs:
Indians/White Sox Under 8.5 Runs
Here’s a fun fact for you, during their 4 game winning streak, the Indians starting pitchers have a combined ERA of just a little over 1. Both starting pitchers should keep the score low. We are taking the under.
Twins ML vs. Red Sox (-162)
This is a bounce back spot for the Twins after choking hard against Seattle. New series, and they have Happ on the mound. In his 2 matchups against Boston in 2020, his ERA was 0.66 and a combined 12 Ks.
Padres RL vs. Pirates
Shoutout to the Pirates yesterday for winning after I called them stinky. In Yu Darvish’s only start against Pittsburgh last year, Darvish went 6 innings and didn’t give up a single run. Cahill gave up 7 ER in his only start this year- ouch but ok cut him a break. Let’s go back to last year, Cahill gave up 4 ER in only 3 innings pitched against SD.
Astros RL vs. Tigers
Greinke is on the mound for the Astros and he’s had a very strong start to the year giving up only 2 combined ER in his 2 starts. I admit Mize on the mound for Detroit is formidable but we have to take the better pitcher and the better offense which would both be the Astros.
Pirates vs. Padres NRFI
As I mentioned earlier, Darvish didn’t give up a single run in his last start against Pittsburgh. Oh yeah and Pirates also haven’t scored a first inning run in 5 straight games. Top of the lineup doesn’t scare me.
Rays vs. Rangers NRFI
A rule here is when we see a low O/U line like 7.5, we take the NRFI. For the Rays specifically, they’re 8-1 as a team for the NRFI. In case you’re wondering, Texas is 6-3 for the NRFI as a team but Glasnow should be the neutralizer here.
Parlay of the Day:
Astros RL, Padres RL, under white Sox Indians. Odds +523
Let’s cash it.