NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Tuesday, 4/13/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 303-256-1 (+35.9 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 39-24 (+8.4 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Domantas Sabonis Over 11.5 Rebounds
We cashed this same line a couple days ago. Then we talked about how Sabonis averages over 13 rebounds per game when Myles Turner is out (and that was over a span of 19 career games played without Turner). Sabonis treated us nicely with 15 rebounds, and he has had 15 in back to back without Turner. Now he goes up against a Clippers squad that he has feasted on. In his last 3 games against the Clippers, he has had 14, 22 and 16 rebounds. That’s enough for me. I am taking the over again tonight.
Jaylen Brown Over 22.5 Points
I woke up feeling a Jaylen Brown game and that’s what I am going to get. Logically, Robert Covington will be on Jayson Tatum and CJ McCollum or Norm Powell will be on Jaylen Brown. Jaylen can score easily against those two defenders, and Covington is a better defender, so I anticipate the Celtics and Brad Stevens to want to go to the easier matchup on offense. Jaylen Brown will feast tonight. In his last 2 games against Portland, he has had 24 and 30 points. He has also hit this over in 29 of his 50 games this year, so almost 60%. I like the odds, I like the edge. Give me Jaylen tonight.
Robert Williams Over 7.5 Rebounds (-128)
Saw this one on Twitter from Gary, but Williams has hit this over in 8/9 games becoming the starting center (his one miss was landing at 7). Averaging 9.3 RPG during that stretch. It is worth nothing that he just needs to stay out of foul trouble. 12 of the last 15 centers to play 25+ minutes against Portland have recorded at least 8 rebounds. I like the odds, I like to edge we found. I am taking Time Lord tonight.
Thunder Team Total Under 103.5 Points
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. We’ve been cashing on the Thunder and Magic being absolutely terrible, and that won’t stop today. The Thunder are in an unfortunate position as they have to matchup against a Jazz team that is angry. A Jazz team that just had their 24 game home winning streak snapped on Monday night to the Wizards. The spread is 17 points for a reason, on a side note: I wouldn’t include Jazz ML in your parlays, it’s not going to increase your payout much and all it does is add another leg to potentially fall. Anyways, we take the Thunder’s Team Total Under. Say less.
Phoenix Suns-3.5 vs. Heat
For starters, the Suns have been one of the best teams in the NBA this season. Currently sitting at the 2 seed in the Western Conference and a record of 38-15 (9-1 in their last 10 games), but even more impressive, they are 34-19 ATS this season (a ridiculous 64% clip), easily the best in the NBA. Just as important, they are 19-10 ATS as the home team, where they found themselves today. They did beat the Heat by 10 in March down in Miami. The Heat will be without Victor Oladipo, but either way, I like the Suns to win and cover tonight. If that wasn’t enough, Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Tuesday. Hammer it.
Other Leans (not ‘official’ plays):
Lakers/Hornets Under 208.5
Both teams can’t score the basketball. Last time they played, Hornets had LaMelo, Lakers had LeBron. Both teams have struggled to score as of late. I lean the under.
Paul George Over 26.5 Points
Parlay of the Day:
Domantas Sabonis Over 11.5 Rebounds, Jaylen Brown Over 22.5 Points, Suns-3.5 vs. Heat: +576
MLB Props, Run Lines, Over/Unders, NRFIs:
Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bt305FxZ-pk
Angels RL vs. Royals
Yankees ML +100 vs. Blue Jays
Logan’s Lock: Padres RL vs. Pirates
Twins ML -154 vs. Red Sox
Indians vs. White Sox NRFI
Reds vs Giants NRFI
Guest Pick of the Day (from Discord): Brewers ML -146 vs Cubs
Parlay of the Day:
Brewers ML, Padres RL, NRFI in Indians game
Let’s cash it.