NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Monday, 4/26/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 357-290-1 (+50.2 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 77-61-1 (+8.0 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Paul George Over 29.5 Points
Say what you want about PG, but he’s been great recently, and he hasn’t been getting enough love from myself. I’ve been sleeping on him but not today. I know, you’re thinking, “30 points from Paul George, you’re out of you damn mind” and I understand that, but here’s why. For one, we have the Pelicans, a bad defense. We aren’t afraid of them whatsoever. But the main reason is if you look at Paul George’s game log when Kawhi Leonard is inactive (which will be the case today). Here’s what we are talking: 5 straight games with 32+ points. He’s averaging 29.6 PPG over the month of April, and nearly 33 PPG in his last 8 games. He’s broken 32+ points in 7 of his last 8 games. I have said enough for me. I like his over tonight as the main workhorse for his Clippers.
Nikola Jokic Over 26.5 Points or 46.5 PRAs
The Joker has been great this year, and that’s why he is the MVP frontrunner. He needs to keep pushing and close the season strong, and a matchup against the Grizzlies is another one for him to showcase his talents. In their two matchups this season, he has scored 28 points and 47 points just one week ago (granted that was in double OT) but you don’t just fall into 47 points. Granted that was against Xavier Tillman, and tonight should be against Valanciunas, but Jonas is no match for Jokic. Expect a big performance from the Nuggets Superstar.
Michael Porter Jr. Over 22.5 Points
Speaking of young super stars, MPJ is coming into his own these past few games. With Will Barton out now, and obviously no Jamal Murray, someone has to shoot the ball and Facu, Aaron Gordon, PJ Dozier and co. don’t take a whole lot of shots. We’ve seen MPJ shoot 18+ times the past 2 games, a number he doesn’t usually hit all too frequently and he should again tonight, and majority of them will be 3 pointers. He’s fresh off a 39 point outing against Houston, before that: 26 points against Golden State. I think we are about to see a great run from MPJ to close out the season, so let’s get ahead of it before the prop starts going up exponentially. Locking it in.
Leans: (mainly just don’t have the lines)
Bogan Bogdanovic’s Points Over
Should be around 19-20 points once all injury reports come out. Stealing the analysis from Reece in the Discord, he averages 26.8 PPG when Trae Young is out. He’s scored 21+ points in all 5 of those games without Trae Young. They play the Pistons, a team I am not scared of defensively. Definitely worth looking at once we have a line.
Derrick Rose Points Over
Not sure we will ever get one for him but he’s been hooping and playing big minutes as Thibs trusts him. 15+ points in 3 straight games. His O/U line should be at 14.5 if he does get one and that’s what I would take it at and feel comfortable.
Jarrett Allen Pts+Rebs
Just feasted on the Wizards team with 27 and 12. Now he gets the Raptors team who will likely start Khem Birch at center, and if you’ve never watched Khem Birch, he is really bad. Last time the Fro played Toronto, he dropped 17 and 15. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a similar stat line.
Magic Team Total Under (first half if possible)
Not sure what the line will be for the first half or if that exists, but I would take it. The Lakers and namely Anthony Davis declared this game a must win. They will come out and put the clamps on this Magic team that is terrible as is. I would take the first half Magic Team total under if that is a thing, I don’t expect the Magic to crack 50 points. Lakers should also easily win and cover the 10 points even though that is a lot, but I’ll lean on the first half Magic under or Team Total Magic Under for the full game.
Jazz vs Timberwolves Over 229 Points
Ummm why is this line this high? These teams just played and combined to score 197 points when the O/U was 231 yet they come back and hit us with nearly the same O/u line. When it doesn’t make sense, I take it. Timberwolves also aren’t capable of playing defense in two in a row. Won’t happen. Hammer the over.
Parlay of the Day:
Paul George Over 29.5 Points, MPJ Over 22.5 Points, Magic Team Total Under First Half
Jazz, Lakers, Nuggets, 76ers, Heat +280 odds
MLB Run Lines, Over/Unders, NRFIs:
Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/callingourshot
Tigers ML First 5 vs. Royals
Phillies ML -112 vs. Cardinals
Rays ML +108 vs. Athletics
Dodgers Team Total Over
Twins/Indians Under 7.5 Runs (-122)
Mariners+146 vs. Astros
Parlay of the Day:
Angels ML, Phillies ML, Dodgers ML +368