NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Wednesday, 4/28/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 363-302-1 (+44.1 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 81-71-1 (+3.0 units)
Here is today’s slate!
We have to be better. Two straight losing nights, but I like today’s slate. Let’s get after it.
Bradley Beal Over 29.5 Points
Beal has been playing out of his mind lately. There’s a reason he’s the leading scorer in the NBA this season at 31.4 PPG. He’s coming off a 45 point outing on 37 shots. The Wizards know they need to win games and this is a winnable game against the Lakers. Beal has had 30+ points in 8 of his last 9. The one miss was 29 points. I like the matchup. He had 33 points on the Lakers earlier this season on 24 shots. He should get that same number up tonight, if not more and cash this over.
Ja Morant Over 22.5 Points
Morant hasn’t been one to be kind to me during his career, but last two times I have picked him: CASH. Both times last week against the Blazers and would you look at that, they play the Blazers again today. Morant exposed the Blazers defense in both matchups with 28 and 33 point, not a surprise one bit given how bad the Blazers are at defending opposing point guards. Morant has been on a roll lately. 22+ points in 5 straight. 27+ in 4 of his last 5. He knows it’s winning time and he’s being much more aggressive. I’ll take it tonight.
Zion Williamson Over 26.5 Points
The disrespect will not be tolerated. Is this a trap line? Maybe. But the Nuggets don’t have anyone to stop Williamson, they just don’t. Put Aaron Gordon on him and see what happens. In both matchups against the Nuggets this year, Zion has gone over 30. With 30 and 39 points in their matchups. He has scored at will against this Nuggets team and really the rest of the NBA. Last 15 games he is averaging 30.1 PPG. They will need him to keep them in this game, and he will do just that. Let the man eat!
One lean of the day: Jordan Clarkson Over Points
I will take this line up to 20.5. Anything higher and I’m out.
Kings are giving up the 2nd most PPG to opposing shooting guards over their past 15 games at 26.03. If there’s one thing Clarkson isn’t afraid of, it’s shooting. Buddy fires it up. Prior to the two games against the Timberwolves (where the Jazz played like a G League team), he had 22+ points in 4 straight games missing Donovan Mitchell. Now Mike Conley is out. Sure, he was a combined 10/36 these past 2 games but it’s a make or miss league and I’ll take the opportunity I know Clarkson will give me. He shoots over 10 3’s a game most nights. I’ll take my chances.
Deandre Ayton Over 26.5 PRAs
If you know me, you know how much I don’t like betting on Deandre Ayton. Sometimes he just doesn’t like to show up, but tonight is a big game for the Suns. This game will decide a lot in the standings and I think for that reason alone, Ayton will show up to play. Also, Ayton has destroyed the Clippers in his career. Here are his PRA lines last 6 matchups: 31, 34 (both this year), 30, 42, 33, 30. 6-0. This line is too low. It should be 28.5 at the very least if not 30.5. I like the edge and I think Ayton shows up tonight. Zubac is not someone that I am afraid of one bit.
Miles Bridges Over 27.5 PRAs
Bridges has been very good lately and I wish I had taken more advantage of him during this stretch but we are here to do just that today. Over the last 2 weeks (or 8 games), he has cashed this line in 6 of the 8. One of the misses was because he didn’t play 30 minutes (normally plays 35+), other miss was 27 on the dot. He just had 29 against the Celtics a couple days ago, and I think he can do it again tonight. The Celtics did just give up 35 PRAs to Darius Bazley. Not concerned about the matchup. I think he gets it done tonight.
Other Props I considered: Haliburton Over 6.5 Assists, Vucevic Over 11.5 Rebounds, Devonte Graham Over 25.5 PRAs, Garland Over 8.5 Assists, Nurkic Over 25.5 Pts+Rebs, MPJ Under 8.5 Rebs
Cavaliers vs. Magic Under 211.5 Points
Without Sexton, this Cavaliers team struggles to score points. Garland has been great but when he’s not on the floor, they don’t have a point guard. You already know how I feel about the Magic. This game will be close and I could see it going either way but I will play the under for half a unit. Vegas is super sharp on these over/unders these days so we will see how it goes.
Lean: Knicks-5 vs. Bulls
Not an official play. Just a Knicks homer.
The Knicks are 17-10 ATS after a loss. I expect them to bounce back today vs the lowly Bulls. I won’t put any money on it or count it towards my record, but people like to hear what side I am on, and that would be betting on my New York Knicks.
Parlay of the Day:
Bradley Beal Over 29.5 Points, Deandre Ayton Over 26.5 PRAs, Ja Morant Over 22.5 Points
MLB Run Lines, Over/Unders, NRFIs:
Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/callingourshot
White Sox RL (-1.5) vs. Tigers
Blue Jays ML First 5 (-170) vs. Nationals
Giants ML (-148) vs. Rockies
Braves ML vs. Cubs
Red Sox/Mets NRFI
Diamondbacks ML vs. Padres (+146)