NBA & MLB Best Bets: Monday, 5/3/21


NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Monday, 5/3/2021

 This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates

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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!


NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 373-323-1 (+34.3 units)

MLB Best Bets Record: 102-78-1 (+13.2 units)

Here is today’s slate!


Trae Young Over 39.5 PRAs (-106)

Trae Young has feasted on the Blazers in his career: 28.4 PPG 10.2 APG and 6 rebounds over 5 career games. Here are his PRA totals in all 5 games: 44, 44, 53, 42, 40.

The Blazers are also one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA especially against point guards. Giving up 25.61 PPG, 7.32 RPG and 8.81 APG. Hawks are fighting for a playoff seed. Last 2 games for Trae: 43 PRAs and then just 37 in 28 minutes of action against Philadelphia. I say he gets it done tonight.


Russell Westbrook Over 48.5 PRAs (-122)

This is a lot to ask from one player but Westbrook can be the one exception. Westbrook cashed out for us big in his last game against the Mavericks dropping 42 actual points and 61 PRAs. Over his last 4 games, he has cashed this line in 3 of em. Tonight, he gets a Pacers team that back on March 29th, he dropped 35 points, 14 rebounds and 21 assists (70 PRAs) granted that was without Bradley Beal. The game against the Pacers will be ultra high scoring with an over/under set at 246.5, it doesn’t get much higher than that. Westbrook should continue to push the pace and score in transition. I an taking the Brodie tonight to keep up his stat padding ways.


Domantas Sabonis Over in PRAs

Sabonis absolutely feasted in his return off from injury. He dropped a first half triple double and finished with 26 points, 19 rebounds and 14 assists against the Thunder. With Brogdon questionable, we do not have a line for him, but when the line comes, I will take the over whatever it may be. These teams played back in March and Sabonis went off. 35 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists for a nice 52 PRAs. I guarantee his line isn’t that high, maybe high 30’s to low 40s and I’ll take it at that number. The Wizards don’t have a great matchup for Sabonis. They can put Gafford, Lopez or Len on him, but it won’t matter. I am taking Sabonis tonight. Lock it in. I’ll update the official number in the comments below once we get one!


Derrick Rose Over 16.5 Points (-122)

D-Rose is playing a ton of minutes recently, and that’s to be expected for Tom Thibodeau. He traded for Rose for a reason. To begin with, D Rose has hit this number in 6 of his last 7 games. His one miss was a game that he shot 2/11 so that is to be expected. He’s been playing 30+ minutes off the bench this season and helping lead this Knicks team in crunch time against good opposing teams. The Knicks did matchup with the Grizzlies back on April 9th and Rose walked away with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists on 17 shots. He’s been shooting it a ton and that won’t stop tonight. He has also hit this number in 3 straight games vs. Memphis. If you don’t get it at 16.5, I would prefer a slight pivot to his PRA line. He’s been hitting that consistently as well.


Damian Lillard Over 38.5 PRAs (-104)

Just because you raise it 2 points from yesterday doesn’t mean I am not going to pick it. Dame Time is starting to heat up. He cashed us out yesterday with 45 PRAs, and the game before that he had 48. Similar to Trae Young, he has feasted in this same matchup. A lot of back and forth going at each other. Last 3 games against the Hawks, Dame has had 30+ points in each of them, with PRA lines of 50, 43 and 46. I like him to continue that dominance again tonight in a high scoring matchup with o/u set at 236.5.


Pistons vs. Magic Under 213.5 Points (-110)

If you gave me the option between watching paint dry or watching this game, I would watch paint every single time. Talk about a disgusting matchup. Ew. I don’t even like seeing this on FanDuel when I pull it up, but we will get this one out quick.  These teams stink. They played twice earlier this season, final score 105-93 Magic and then 96-105 Pistons. So total points being 198 and 201, that’s what these teams are capable of. They would’ve hit this over in just 1 of their last 5 matchups. The total has been going over in too many of the Magic’s games recently, 9 of 11 games has gone over. Tonight, Vegas gets one back. Make that 9 of 12 as the under cashes with ease. This will be the last I see of this game until I see if my ticket cashed or not.


Pelicans vs. Warriors Over 236.5 Points (-110)

In recent matchups between these teams, they haven’t sniffed this over. But all of those last 3 matchups were without Curry, who we know makes a huge difference. The last time these teams played with Curry out there, final score was 134 to 123. Prior that that, we saw scores of 147 to 140, 131 to 121, 120-126, 125-115. You get the point. Even though the rosters aren’t the same for all of those matchups, these teams tend to explode against each other. As the home team, the Pelicans have hit their overs at a ridiculous clip. 23 of 33 games to be exact. I like the over as my final pick on this Monday night of NBA action.



Parlay of the Day:

Russell Westbrook Over 48.5 PRAs, Trae Young Over 39.5 PRAs, Derrick Rose Over 16.5 Points: +523


MLB Run Lines, Over/Under’s, NRFIs:

Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video on our YouTube channel:

Dodgers RL (-114) vs. Cubs 

Blue Jays ML (+104) vs. A’s

Twins RL First 5 (-128) vs. Rangers

Rockies ML (-118) vs. Giants

Vince Velasquez Under 6.5 K’s

Rays/Angels NRFI (-140)



Dodgers RL, Twins First 5 RL, Rays/Angels NRFI +473


Those are my NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for Monday, May 3rd.  Here’s to hoping we bank together. 

Also, follow us on Twitter @CallingOurShot.

And, check out how my preseasonaward predictions are shaping up!

NBA Award Predictions: MVP, Rookie of the Year…

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