NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Tuesday, 5/4/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 377-326-1 (+34.9 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 105-79-1 (+15.0 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 31.5 Points (-122)
Giannis is fresh off dropping 49 points on the Nets’ dome and they showed no chance of stopping him. He did drop 34 points on them earlier this year as well. The Nets just do not have the physical defensive presence to stop him, maybe they will try Claxton tonight but that won’t stop him. Giannis should continue to impose his will against this Nets team. It’s worth nothing that Giannis has scored 28+ points in 6 of his last 7 matchups against Brooklyn and although his line is higher than that, it still shows good promise considering the one loss was a game he played 16 minutes in. Okay, you know I have to say it. We are getting Greek Freaky tonight!
Lonzo Ball Over 13.5 Rebs+Asts (+104)
Maybe I am late to the party and this will be a loss, but Lonzo has been filling up the stat sheet recently and cashing this prop with ease. Last night, he had 7 rebounds and 8 assists. Game before that 19 combined, then 16, 24,16 again. You see the consistency and he just did it against this same Warriors team. I think he can get it done for us tonight.
Zion Williamson Over 29.5 Points (-112)
It’s been a minute since I bet on Zion Williamson but I am back tonight. On a back to back against the Warriors, I am in. Last night, Zion had 32 points and he did not even play that well. 12/24 shooting. He has had 24 shots in 2 of his last 3 games, with 17 shots in the middle. If you can get me up to 20+ shots, I’d be willing to take my percentages with Zion, shooting 61.4% from the field this season. Zion has only shot 23+ times 6 times this season, in those games, he has hit 30+ points in 5 of em. They clearly like the matchup enough to feed him and let him go to work. I am rocking with big Z down in the Bayou tonight. Let’s do this!
Kevin Durant Over 30.5 Points (-108)
Riding the hot hand with KD tonight, but he takes these matchups personal against Milwaukee. 42 points in the last game on 16/33 shooting, which isn’t even that good for someone of Durant’s caliber. He has had 33+ points in 3 of his past 4 games (the one being that game he shot 7 times). Earlier this season, he had 30 points on em, finishing just under the hook. I think he cooks them tonight. Put PJ Tucker on him again and see how it works. Durant did all of that with only 4 free throw attempts last game. I would bet he gets to the line much more tonight after all the handchecking that PJ Tucker was doing and not having it called. I am riding with the talent of Durant. 31 points is a lot, but he is certainly capable.
Jarrett Allen Under 24.5 Pts+Rebs (-104)
I know, picking an under normally isn’t my forte, but this is a matchup between 2 of my least liked players in the NBA. Ayton vs. Allen. Both hate me, and I don’t get it. I normally am out here supporting them, but tonight, I am taking an under which means the Fro is about to drop a 20 and 15 on my head, but here’s why: 4 career games against Ayton, the most Rebounds+Assists he has had was 20. 0-4 during those games. Last game, he played 34 minutes and had 14 points 5 rebounds. Allen has been better of late, but has still only cashed this under in 7 of his last 9 games. The game’s he hit his over was against bad defensive center teams like the Magic and the Wizards. Can Ayton hold down the fort tonight? Probably not. But the Suns can blowout this Cavs team which would be music to my ears. Tonight, I am taking the under.
Pelicans-1.5 vs. Warriors
Maybe I am falling into the trap, but the Pelicans didn’t play well yesterday and they let Curry go wild on em. I doubt that happens tonight. Just double Curry and make someone else beat you. If the Pelicans knocked down a couple shots, they would’ve been right in this game. I think they bounce back. Golden State is 5-8 ATS on back to backs, and tonight we make that 5-9.
Kings/Thunder Over 229.5 Points
Normally, I would see a game as ugly as this and immediately bet the under, but I will side with the over and here’s why. Neither of these teams plays an ounce of defense. They don’t even try, and I think this will be an up and down game. I assume Tyrese Haliburton is out, so no true point guard on either side. This will just be a transition game with a ton of turnovers. I am taking the over, not because I like it, but because I feel like it’s the right play in this circumstance.
Parlay of the Day:
Giannis Over 31.5 Points, Zion over 29.5 Points, Jarrett Allen Under 24.5 Pts+Rebs
MLB Run Lines, Over/Under’s, NRFIs:
Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/callingourshot
Red Sox RL (+110) vs. Tigers
Dodgers RL Game 1 vs. Cubs
Braves First 5 ML (-144) vs. Nationals
White Sox Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (-110) vs. Reds.
Bauers K’s Over (if he starts)
Mets/Cardinals NRFI, Braves First 5 ML, Red Sox RL: +486