NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Wednesday, 5/5/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel! Over 4500 subscribers!
Also, join our Sports Betting Discord with over 1500 members and counting. Text Channels for all sports to chat with others about and see what people are betting. Link is right here: https://discord.gg/C9gMv4mFKz
Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 380-330-1 (+33.6 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 108-80-1 (+16.7 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Karl Anthony Towns Over 10.5 Rebounds (-125)
Karl Anthony-Towns has a great matchup tonight that he has continued to exploit. Not only has KAT hit this line in 2 straight games and 4 of his past 5, but he has been even better against the Grizzlies. This season, these teams have played twice, KAT got nasty in both of those games with 16 and 14 rebounds a piece. Don’t mind if I do? But Austin, there’s gotta be more? You’re dang right there’s more. Last 6 games against Memphis, no fewer than 12 rebounds in a game. He’s had 16, 14, 12, 13, 23, 18. What else do you want from me? The fact that the Grizzlies are giving up the 4th most rebounds to opposing centers at 17 per game over their past 15 games. Or that it is even worse over their last 7 games with 19.68 per game (3rd most in the league). Last but most important, Karl’s number is 32. 3+2 is 5. Cinco de Mayo. Say less. I am going out on the Town in style tonight. Lock it in.
Domantas Sabonis Over in PRAs
Same thing as last night, someone tell me the line and I am in. It would be nice if Brogdon is out so that is something to monitor. You could also consider Caris LeVert’s over in points if Brogdon is out. But obviously, Sabonis has been terrific. Last two games: 60 PRAs and 59 PRAs. These teams played earlier in January and Sabonis had 43 PRAs that night and that was with Brogdon. We are all systems go if Brogdon is out tonight, I still like it with him in the lineup given the matchup against the Kings though. Over their last 7 games, the Kings are giving up 30 PPG and 16 RPG to opposing centers, where Sabonis will line up. If that’s not enough then I don’t know what is. Sabonis should feast on that Kings frontcourt tonight.
RJ Barrett Over 17.5 Points (-118)
RJ Barrett has improved drastically this season and he’s one of the reasons that the Knicks are playing so well. Over his last 9 games, he has scored over 18 points in 6 of them. The games he misses this mark is because he shoots the ball inefficiently, 6/18, 7/18, you get the point, but I preach that it’s a make or miss league. That could happen to anyone any given night, but tonight, guess who is guarding Barrett……Austin Rivers. Great first name, but similar to myself on the court, terrible at defense. RJ Barrett should have a field day against him on offense. One thing you have to love is that Barrett should again approach the 40 minute mark in playing time. He’s going to see a lot of opportunity and he should make the most of it. I like his PRA line at 26.5, but sided with the points given how good the matchup is. Let’s go RJ.
Kemba Walker Over 18.5 Points (-116)
Love him or hate him, Kemba Walker is returning to game action. He’s been up or down this year, but tonight, I am betting on an up. Jaylen Brown is out tonight and that will make a world of difference for Kemba. Over his last 4 games played without Jaylen Brown, Kemba Walker has had 21+ points in all of em. He’s shooting it 17+ times each night and I will happily take an over for a player of Kemba’s skill level if the points total is right near the number of shot attempts that player should take. He should fire it up tonight against this Magic defense.
Bucks/Wizards Over 241.5
I’d be a fool to bet an under in a Wizards game. No defense to be had. Neither of these teams plays a whole lot of defense and that should continue tonight, especially with the Bucks on the second half of a back to back. If you look at their recent scores, this is what you got: 255 and 244 (both happened this year), before then: 239, 271, 282, 277, 246. You get the point. It’s another all star game out there. Westbrook should continue to push this pace against the Bucks leading to some easy wide open looks. The Bucks were just cashing this over against the Nets, and now they get a super fast pace team in the Wizards. I am all over this over. I think they hit it with ease.
4 Leans (not official plays or putting money on them. Just some ideas):
Caris LeVert’s Over in Points if Brogdon is out
Kings/Pacers Over 239.5 Points
Pacers-6 vs. Kings
Knicks/Nuggets Under 214
Parlay of the Day:
RJ Barrett Over 17.5 Pts, Kemba Walker Over 18.5 Pts, Karl Anthony-Towns Over 10.5 Rebounds. +505
MLB Run Lines, Over/Under’s, NRFIs:
Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/callingourshot
Red Sox Team Total Over 5 Runs (-115)
Orioles/Mariners Under 4.5 Runs First 5 (-152)
White Sox Team Total Over 3.5 Runs (-132) vs. Reds.
Diamondbacks ML vs. Marlins
Darvish Over 7.5 K’s (-125)
Indians/Royals NRFI (-140)
Indians/Royals NRFI, Orioles/Marines Under 4.5 Runs First 5, CHW Team Total Over 3.5 Runs: +400