NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Monday, 5/10/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 395-343-1 (+32.8 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 121-90-2 (+19.5 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Trae Young Over 25.5 Points (-114)
Trae has scored 30 points in 3 of his last 5 games. It all depends on what version of him we get. If it’s passing Trae Young, it’s going to be tough, but I think tonight is shooting and free throw fiend Trae.
In his last two matchups against the Wizards, he has had 41 and 45 points, one of those happening back on January 29th. On the season, the Wizards give up the 4th most PPG to opposing point guards. Westbrook should be pushing the pace and giving us a chance to cash this over with more possessions.
I am taking the over for Ice Trae. Just let him get to the free throw line and it is all over. Not that it matters, his last 2 games against Westbrook were 41 points (obviously) and then 37 back when he was on Houston. We just saw the Wizards get cooked by Caris LeVert and co.
Get your jackets and sweatshirts on, it’s about to get cold. Ice Trae time.
Moving on. As badly as I wanted to pick Bradley Beal (who is out today) or Russell Westbrook (who’s numbers are absolutely insane, I mean 28.5 RAs 55.5 PRAs, 13.5 assists -140). I just can’t do it.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 5.5 Assists (+132 value)
This is a + value play that will likely go down but I really like it and here’s why. Knowing Coach Popovich, they really don’t want to see Giannis use and abuse his team. That’s the last thing they want to see especially as they fight for a playoff position with the Pelicans on their heels.
You look at Giannis and his body of work. He has had 7 and 8 assists in back to back games. Prior to that were the 2 games against the Nets in which he didn’t have to pass as they didn’t guard him. Game before that was Houston rockets which he got injured 40 seconds into the game, but prior to that, he had 8, 4 7 6 assists in the 4 games prior. He has shown the ability to hit this and it’s a plus value play.
Also, look at his gamelog against the Spurs: they played earlier this season and Giannis barely hit this prop with just 15 assists a career high. Game before that against the Spurs was 8 assists. He’s hit this in 4 of his last 5 games against San Antonio and so I like it at plus value, and I am riding with it tonight.
Draymond Green Over 16.5 Rebounds+Assists (-111)
This line is fishy. Now way around it. I don’t get the line at all. These are must win games for the Warriors who sit in the 8th seed but one game above the Grizzlies.
He’s been on a tear lately cashing this in 5 straight games and 7 of his past 9 games. He’s the heart and soul of this Warriors team and he has to show out every night to give them a chance to win.
Also, last time these teams played back on March 14th (pi day), he had 12 rebounds and 12 assists. Something doesn’t feel right about this line so I don’t blame you for not playing it. Today’s slate is a weird one so be careful out there.
Caris LeVert Over in Points
This is entirely contingent on Brogdon being out, so maybe wait to place it. If Brogdon is in, I won’t be betting on it. This is also why I don’t have an exact line because sportsbooks are waiting for the injury report. But you look at Caris the last couple weeks and he has been dominant. 25+ points in 5 of his last 6 games. 30+ in 4 of those 6.
He’s been cooking and helping this Pacers team score a lot of points with the ball in his hands 24/7. The best part about Caris is he’s not afraid to shoot his shot. 18+ shot attempts in 5 of his last 6. He’s usually pretty efficient shooting 50% or better in 5 of his last 8 games.
Riding with Caris tonight. One of my favorite players in the NBA.
Pacers-6 vs. Cavaliers
Pacers have beaten the Cavs in 6 of their last 7 matchups covering in 5 of them. I have watched the Cavaliers (not physically because I don’t hate my life that much) these past couple weeks and they stink. No way around that. They are awful and ready to go on their usual Summer Break.
Although the Pacers haven’t been great, they did hang around and could’ve won against the Wizards and they beat a good Atlanta team. Pacers are fighting for a playoff spot with the Bulls on their heels.
Pacers can score a lot of points and I can’t guarantee this Cavs team can. I am rocking with the Pacers tonight in what I think will be a 20 point blowout. The rest of the season doesn’t look good for Indiana schedule wise with the 76ers, Bucks and Lakers in their next 3. They need this win to keep those playoff hopes alive and I think they come out in a big way led by Caris LeVert and Sabonis.
Hawks-6 vs. Wizards
The Wizards will be without Bradley Beal and it’ll truly be the Russell Westbrook show. This Wizards team doesn’t do themselves any favors by not playing defense. The Hawks at least try on the defensive side sometimes and they have Capela to clean up some of their mistakes.
Also since no Bradley Beal, that usually means more Raul Neto which is not a good thing. The Hawks will just have too many options on offense, too many open shots and I think led by Trae Young, they get it done tonight. Even though the Wizards need the win more than the Hawks, I don’t think they get it done. It’s worth noting that in their last 5 games without Bradley Beal this year, they have lost all 5 by an average of 18 points per game.
They have been destroyed and lost by 20+ in 3 of those games and have only covered in one of those games against the trash Raptors.
I am taking the Hawks to win and cover at home tonight.
Parlay of the Day:
Trae Young Over 25.5 Points
Giannis Over 5.5 Assists
Draymond Green Over 16.5 Rebounds+Assists
+728 (likely to go down with Giannis’ line changing)
MLB Run Lines, Over/Under’s, NRFIs:
Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/callingourshot
Reds ML (-142) vs. Pirates
Astros First 5 ML vs. Angels
Rangers First 5 +0.5 (-118) vs. Giants
Padres/Rockies Over First 5 Total
Red Sox-Orioles: Lopez K’s Under 4.5
Rangers/Giants NRFI (-135)
Giants NRFI, Reds ML, Astros First 5 ML
Those are my NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for Saturday, May 10th. Here’s to hoping we bank together.
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And, check out our Sports Betting Arbitrage article and video. You don’t want to miss it.