NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Wednesday, 5/12/2021
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 400-350-1 (+30.4 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 128-93-3 (+25.5 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Trae Young Over 27.5 Points (-106)
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Trae feasted on the Wizards when they played on Monday, per my prediction, so why can’t he feast on them in back to back games? He has scored 30+ points in 4 of 6 total games, but when you look at the Wizards, it is even better. Against the Wizards this year, he has had 41 and 36 points. Going back to last year, he had 45 points in a game. He has absolutely destroyed their defense and tonight should be like any other game.
The Wizards don’t play much defense and should let him get to his spots and get to the free throw line. I love the matchup and the player. Ice Trae should be living at the free throw line tonight, bundle up and lock it in.
Russell Westbrook Over 14.5 Assists (-106)
The Triple Double King is here. The job is not finished. Westbrook, as I am sure you know, has been on an absolute tear this season, especially recently. He has been destroying the box scores with his gaudy numbers and that’s what brings us back today.
Once again, Bradley Beal will be out so the ball will be in Westbrook’s hands 24/7. He will be pushing the pace and looking for his teammates. Last matchup against the Hawks, I wasn’t sure what to expect without Beal but Westbrook put on a show: 13 rebounds and 21 assists. Normally, I would take the Rebounds+Assists line but I am just going to stick with assists. 15 is a lot, but Westbrook has hit that line in all of his last 5 games. He should play 40+ minutes tonight and that’s good enough with me.
The Hawks are not a great team defensively, and if Westbrook wants to slow down after he broke Oscar Robertson’s record then so be it, but I am riding with him tonight. Let’s go get it down Brodie.
CJ McCollum Over 22.5 Points (-116)
McCollum has been solid in the Month of May. He’s averaging 23.2 PPG on 34 minutes shooting 18.2 times per game. He has scored 23+ points in 3 of 6 games so not great odds, but I like the matchup vs. Utah.
Over their last 7 games, Utah is giving up 27.16 PPG to opposing shooting guards, the most in the league. With Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley still out, they haven’t been playing much defense. He’s hit this over in 4 of his last 6 games vs. Utah, but missed the one time he played them about a month ago. That night he shot 8/21 and 3/10 from 3. If McCollum can get up to 20 shots tonight, I will be content with the outcome regardless of what happens.
CJ is one of the more smooth buckets in the game, and I am rolling with his over 22.5. Let’s get it done.
Rudy Gobert Over 13.5 Rebounds (+102)
Getting this one at plus value and I like it and here’s why: First, I don’t love betting on Rudy Gobert cause similar to Deandre Ayton, he picks and chooses what nights he shows up, but I think tonight will be one of those. Let’s look at the numbers.
Over his last 5 matchups against the Blazers, he has had 14+ rebounds in 4 of 5. His past two matchups, both this year, he had 17 and 20 rebounds. The Blazers don’t have any stretch the floor big men in just Nurkic and Kanter, so he typically just camps out in the paint all game. And maybe this is a mini-hedge if McCollum comes out firing bricks, maybe Gobert grabs those rebounds.
All in all, I love the matchup. In his last 6 games overall, he has hit this in 4 of em. Just need him to show up tonight and we will be good. Hurt me good, Gobert.
Hawks Over 123.5 Points
Just like we talked about with Westbrook and Trae Young, neither team plays defense but I will just be rocking with the Hawks Team Total Over and here’s why. In May, so 6 games, the fewest points the Wizards have given up is 125, and that was twice to the Mavericks and Hawks on Monday.
The other 4 games, we have seen 129 from Toronto, 134 from Milwaukee, and 133 and 154 from Indiana. The Hawks shoot a ton of 3’s and the Wizards and one of the worst teams at defending them. It’s a recipe for disaster. It’s a lot of points, but the Hawks are capble. They have scored 123+ points in 4 straight games, and all we need is 124 (off my manufactured line). I think they get it done today led by Trae Young. Locking it in.
Blazers vs. Jazz Over 234.5 Points
Both of these teams fire up the 3 ball at will. The Jazz make the most 3’s per game at 16.8 followed closely behind by the Blazers at 15.7. You got a Blazers team that is 29th in defensive rating, so I think the Jazz should be able to score points at will against them, and then you have the Blazers who are one of the best offensive teams in the NBA, and they got CJ McCollum who will hopefully have a big game to help us here as well.
The Jazz are 2nd in offensive rating, Blazers are 4th. The Jazz have hit this over in their last 3 games. The Blazers have hit it in 7 of their last 9 games, so I will ride with the over tonight. All it takes is for these teams to get hot and knock down a couple 3’s and it’s over.
MLB Run Lines, Over/Under’s, NRFIs:
Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/callingourshot
Royals F5 ML (-143) vs. Tigers
Blue Jays vs. Braves Over 8 (-110)
White Sox Team Total Over 4 (-122) vs. Twins
Phillies ML (-134) vs. Nationals
Gerrit Cole K’s Over
Yankees NRFI, Royals F5 ML, Phillies ML
Those are my NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for Wednesday, May 12th. Here’s to hoping we bank together.
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And, check out our Sports Betting Arbitrage article and video. You don’t want to miss it.