NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets & Spreads for Monday, 5/24/2021
This is my daily article! We breakdown our NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for each and every night. I’ll keep track of my record as the season progresses. Please check us out on Twitter @CallingOurShot for recaps and live updates.
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Let’s get into my NBA Best Prop Bets and Spreads of the Day!
NBA Best Prop Bets Record: 435-395-1 (+27.4 units)
MLB Best Bets Record: 165-128-3 (+25.6 units)
Here is today’s slate!
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 Points (-120)
Giannis struggled in Game 1, no way around that, shooting 10/27 and 6/13 from the free throw line for 26 points. Now while the free throw line might continue to be bad, he shouldn’t shoot this poorly again from the field.
If you look at Giannis this season, he shot 21 or more times in 17 games this season and he hit the over in not 1, not 2 not 3 but ALL 17 games. Yes, 17/17 when he shot over 21 times, and now his one miss was a 10/27 shooting outing.
I will happily take my L if I get that many shot attempts from Giannis today.
He is motivated to prove the doubters wrong in the postseason and him and the Bucks are looking to do their business at home and go up 2-0 on this series.
Today, we are getting Greek Freaky. Take Giannis and the points.
A side note: Giannis 25 and Khris SGP 20+ seemed enticing +107 value, but I won’t make that an official play.
Brook Lopez Over 4.5 Rebs (-134)
I know, I know, it’s Brook Lopez but he has been great on the glass. He has record 6+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games, and he just had 8 rebounds in Game 1 of this series on Saturday.
Against the Heat, he has hit this over in 7 of his last 8 games, and he should see a healthy dose of minutes in this game. Brook isn’t the most aggressive rebounder so I know why someone would be hesitant, but I am taking his over with confidence based on recent performance. Let’s get this done Brook.
Bucks-4.5 vs. Heat
Sure, I was hurt by the Bucks in Game 1 but I am back for more, and shoutout to MB in the Discord for helping me out with this one.
When you look at Game 1, several things stand out. For starters, Giannis struggled. He missed a ton of shots in the paint, sure they played good defense but he doesn’t usually miss those shooting 10/26 from the field.
The Heat also destroyed the Bucks from the 3 point line making 20 3’s to the Bucks 5. Bucks as a whole missed 13 free throws too. The Bucks will make more 3’s than they did in Game 1, and I think they pull away in this game at home.
A lot went wrong for the Bucks in Game 1 yet they still pulled out the W, and I think today they will do just that to go to Miami up 2-0.
Michael Porter Jr. Over 24.5 Points (-106)
MPJ had a wild stat line in Game 1 of this series. He shot 12/21 from the field, and 1/10 from the 3 point line for 25 points. He made all 11 of his shots that were not 3 pointers, and while that is not sustainable, he is certainly capable of making more than 10% of his 3’s.
I am most confident because of the number of shot attempts we got from him.
In games in which he has taken 18 or more shots, he has hit this over in 9 of those 12 games. I think he should easily approach that number again with limited scoring options on the Nuggets. He should feast once again and cash this over.
Jusuf Nurkic Over 3.5 Assists (-104)
Nurkic cashed this with 5 assists in Game 1. Shoutout to DFS Prop Bomb on Twitter for this one: since returning from injury, he averaged 3.7 APG on just 24 minutes, but since we are in the postseason, he should see more minutes. When he has seen more than 28 MPG, he has hit this over in all 10 of his last 11 games.
He did it in Game 1, so no reason he can’t do it again in Game 2.
This should be another high scoring, fast paced game and I think he gets the job done once again. Locking in the over 3.5 assists, which transitions me into my final play of the day.
Nuggets/Blazers Over 226.5
Portland is 22-15 O/U on the road, and the Nuggets are 23-14 O/U at home. Portland seems to play much better when they push the pace and that’s what they should try to do in Game 2 of this series. The Nuggets will knock down more shots than they did in Game 1, just ask Michael Porter Jr. who shot 1/10 from the 3 point line.
Both teams play fast and I think that will be a trend this series. I am locking in the over 226.5.
MLB Run Lines, Over/Under’s, NRFIs:
Here is today’s slate. For full analysis, check out our full video on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/callingourshot
Rays/Blue Jays O5.5 F5 Runs (-114)
White Sox -1.5 vs. Cardinals (+122)
Orioles F5 RL +0.5 (-150) vs. Twins
Indians/Tigers U8.5 Runs (-114)
Blake Snell U7.5 K’s (-150)
Brewers NRFI, Tigers/Indians U8.5, White Sox ML
Those are my NBA & MLB Best Prop Bets and spreads for Monday, May 24th. Here’s to hoping we bank together.
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And, check out our Sports Betting Arbitrage article and video. You don’t want to miss it.